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Gold Cash (GCY00)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Firm on Weak Stocks and Brexit Concerns

Jun Comex gold (GCM19) this morning is up +5.0 (+0.39%) and July silver is up +0.051 (+0.35%). Precious metals are gaining this morning as a sell-off in global equity markets has sparked safe-haven demand for precious metals. A worsening of the U.S./China trade conflict has pummeled stocks today on signs that China has no intention of making trade concessions after China's Ministry of Commerce said, "if the U.S. wants to resume talks, they should show sincerity and correct their wrong practices." Increased risks of a hard Brexit are also boosting safe-haven demand for precious metals after GBP/USD sank to a 4-1/2 month low today on increased pressure on UK Prime Minister May to abandon her Brexit deal and resign. A negative for precious metals prices is a stronger dollar as the dollar index rallied to a 3-1/2 week high today. Silver and industrial metals prices are being undercut by signs of weakness in European manufacturing activity after the Eurozone May Markit manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell -0.2 to 47.7, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 48.1. Gold prices were undercut today by reduced inflation expectations that curb demand for gold as an inflation hedge as the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate fell to a 3-3/4 month low today of 1.762%. The ongoing US/Chinese trade and tech conflict has boosted fund buying of gold as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 2-week high Tuesday. However, concern the trade conflict will reduce global growth and demand for industrial metals has sparked fund liquidation of silver as long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 5-week low Wednesday.
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,266.76 +1.50%
on 05/02/19
1,311.40 -1.96%
on 05/14/19
+13.58 (+1.07%)
since 04/23/19
3-Month
1,266.61 +1.51%
on 04/23/19
1,334.55 -3.66%
on 02/25/19
-41.97 (-3.16%)
since 02/22/19
52-Week
1,160.75 +10.77%
on 08/16/18
1,346.45 -4.51%
on 02/20/19
-7.46 (-0.58%)
since 05/23/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1,280.74
1st Resistance Point 1,276.44
Last Price 1,285.48
1st Support Level 1,268.67
2nd Support Level 1,265.20

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52-Week High 1,346.45
Last Price 1,285.48
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,275.51
Fibonacci 50% 1,253.60
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,231.69
52-Week Low 1,160.75

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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