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Gold Cash (GCY00)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Prices Settle Higher on Weakness in the Dollar and Stocks

Jun Comex gold (GCM19) on Monday closed up +1.60 (+0.13%) and July silver closed up +0.057 (+0.40%). Weakness in the dollar Monday lifted precious metals prices, along with a slump in U.S. stock indexes. Concern about an escalation of the US/China trade and tech conflict fueled a sell-off in technology stocks Monday and boosted safe-haven demand for precious metals. The ongoing trade and tech conflict have also boosted fund buying of gold as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 2-week high Friday. Gold has ongoing support from geopolitical risks in the Middle East after President Trump on Sunday tweeted, "If Iran wants to fight, that will be the official end of Iran." Also, Saudi Arabia ratcheted up its rhetoric as it said it does not want a war with Iran but will respond "with strength and determination" if Iran decides to start one. Silver prices on Monday also found support on strength in Japanese economic growth that is supportive for industrial metals demand after Japan Q1 GDP unexpectedly rose at a +2.1% (q/q annualized) pace, stronger than expectations of -0.2% (q/q annualized). Gains in silver were limited Monday on concern that the ongoing US/China trade conflict will curb global growth and demand for industrial metals. Also, European economic concerns are negative for industrial metals demand after the German Bundesbank in its monthly report said that Germany's economic rebound in Q1 was largely due to one-off factors and that underlying trend remains weak. A negative for gold is reduced inflation expectations that diminish demand for gold as an inflation hedge after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate fell to a 1-1/2 month low of 1.814%.
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