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S&P 500 Real Estate Sep '19 (BKU19)

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S&P 500 Real Estate Futures Market News and Commentary

U.S. Stock Indexes See Support from Debt Ceiling Deal and US/China Trade Meeting Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) on Tuesday closed up +0.68%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) closed up +0.65%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) closed up +0.63%. U.S. stocks on Tuesday rallied on US/Chinese trade optimism after Bloomberg reported that U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer and his team will travel to China early next week through Wednesday to resume face-to-face trade talks with China. U.S. stocks also rallied on the late-Monday news that Congress and the White House agreed on 2-year budget caps and a 2-year debt ceiling suspension, which if passed would avert the threat of a U.S. Treasury default in September or October when the Treasury would otherwise run out of cash. U.S. stocks on Tuesday also found support from positive earnings reports today from Coca-Cola, Lockheed Martin and United Technologies, although there were negative reports from PulteGroup, Zions Bancorp and Whirlpool. Stocks were undercut by Tuesday's weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data. The May FHFA U.S. home price index rose by only +0.1% m/m (vs expectations of +0.4%), the July Richmond Fed index fell by -15 to points to -12 (vs expectations of a rise to 5), and June existing home sales fell by -1.7% to 5.27 million units (below expectations of 5.32 million). Also, the IMF on Tuesday cut its world GDP forecast from April's forecast by -0.1 points for both 2019 and 2020. The IMF is now forecasting world GDP growth of +3.2% in 2019 and +3.5 in 2020. The expected +3.2% world GDP growth in 2019 would be the weakest figure since the global financial crisis. The IMF warned that policy "missteps" on trade and Brexit would likely derail the expected uptick in GDP growth in 2020 to +3.5% from +3.2% in 2019. The VIX on Tuesday fell to a 4-session low and closed the day -0.92 at 12.61%, just mildly above the early-July 3-month low of 12.04% and April's 11-1/4 month low of 11.03%.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
S&P 500 Real Estate Sector Index
Contract Size
$250 times Index
Tick Size
0.05 points ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 3:15p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$250
Expiration Date
09/20/19 (59 days)

Seasonal Chart

S&P 500 Real Estate Sep '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
175.50 +2.28%
on 06/26/19
185.40 -3.18%
on 07/10/19
-3.40 (-1.86%)
since 06/21/19
3-Month
170.80 +5.09%
on 05/07/19
185.65 -3.31%
on 06/20/19
+8.80 (+5.16%)
since 04/23/19
52-Week
143.20 +25.35%
on 12/24/18
185.65 -3.31%
on 06/20/19
+26.40 (+17.24%)
since 07/23/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 180.80
1st Resistance Point 180.15
Last Price 179.50s
1st Support Level 178.20
2nd Support Level 176.90

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52-Week High 185.65
Last Price 179.50s
Fibonacci 61.8% 169.43
Fibonacci 50% 164.42
Fibonacci 38.2% 159.42
52-Week Low 143.20

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