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Corn Jul '18 (ZCN18)

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cmdty Insider - Corn Market Commentary

Tue Oct 16, 7:26AM CDT
Corn futures are mostly 2 cents lower this morning. They had 4 1/2 cent gains in most front months on Monday. The buying was mostly short covering, with preliminary open interest dropping 13,438 contracts. USDA weekly Export Inspections totaled 996,643 MT. That was down 28.03% from the week prior but nearly triple the same week last year. The weekly Crop Progress report yesterday afternoon indicated that 96% of the US corn crop was mature, ahead of the 91% average. It was also reported that 39% was harvested, exceeding the average pace @ 35%. Condition ratings were left UNCH at 68% gd/ex and 373 on the Brugler500 Index. That Index reading is consistent with above trend yield but 2016, 2015 and 2014 were all higher. --Call Brugler Marketing & Management @ (402) 289-2330 with questions or news tips.

Contract Specifications

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Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
07/13/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Corn Jul '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Jul contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
751,314 (-15,606)
797,957 (-11,851)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
441,122 (-12,212)
375,187 (-21,982)
Producers - Long / Short
465,517 (-17,555)
706,491 (-14,770)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
222,889 (+1,528)
28,558 (+2,498)
Managed Money - Long / Short
252,289 (+3,909)
291,688 (-24,079)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
188,833 (-16,121)
83,499 (+2,097)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
329-6 +0.15%
on 07/12/18
374-6 -11.87%
on 06/14/18
-45-6 (-12.17%)
since 06/13/18
329-6 +0.15%
on 07/12/18
412-2 -19.89%
on 05/24/18
-64-2 (-16.29%)
since 04/13/18
329-6 +0.15%
on 07/12/18
425-6 -22.43%
on 07/20/17
-73-4 (-18.20%)
since 07/13/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 333-2
1st Resistance Point 331-6
Last Price 330-2s
1st Support Level 329-4
2nd Support Level 328-6

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52-Week High 425-6
Fibonacci 61.8% 389-1
Fibonacci 50% 377-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 366-3
Last Price 330-2s
52-Week Low 329-6

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