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Live Cattle Feb '18 (LEG18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
First Notice Date
02/05/18
Expiration Date
02/28/18 (6 days)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
122.225 +5.01%
on 01/26/18
130.525 -1.67%
on 02/20/18
+4.800 (+3.89%)
since 01/22/18
3-Month
116.250 +10.41%
on 01/11/18
130.525 -1.67%
on 02/20/18
+2.875 (+2.29%)
since 11/22/17
52-Week
101.925 +25.93%
on 02/24/17
131.950 -2.73%
on 11/06/17
+24.575 (+23.68%)
since 02/22/17

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Brugler report

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Thu Feb 22, 4:46PM CST
Live cattle futures settled the Thursday session with weakness in the front months. Nearby Feb was $1.30 lower, with deferred contracts slightly higher. Feeder cattle futures were 27.5 to $1.025 lower. The CME feeder cattle index was up 6 cents on February 21 at $148.05. Wholesale boxed beef values were higher on Thursday afternoon. Choice boxes were up $1.03 at $218.40, with Select boxes 14 cents higher at $212.06. Estimated weekly FI cattle slaughter was 441,000 head through Thursday. That is down 19,000 from the previous week and 4,000 head fewer than the same week last year. Most cash trade has been reported at $128-$128.50 so far this week. Analysts are estimating that Friday’s USDA Cattle on Feed report to show on feed numbers as of Feb 1 up 7.4% from a year ago at 11.575 million head. Thursday afternoon’s Cold Storage report showed beef stocks at the end of January at 499.554 million pounds. That is 2.36% more than December and nearly 7.18% lower than January 2017.Feb 18 Cattle closed at $128.350, down $1.300,Apr 18 Cattle closed at $125.375, down $0.850,Jun 18 Cattle closed at $116.800, down $0.250,Mar 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $146.000, down $0.650Apr 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $148.075, down $1.025May 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $149.125, down $0.925

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As I type furiously away

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 129.600
1st Resistance Point 128.975
Last Price 128.350s
1st Support Level 127.900
2nd Support Level 127.450

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52-Week High 131.950
Last Price 128.350s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.480
Fibonacci 50% 116.938
Fibonacci 38.2% 113.395
52-Week Low 101.925

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