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Japanese Yen Jun '19 (J6M19)

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Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Weakness in the Yuan and a Decline in EUR/USD on Dovish ECB Comments

The dollar index (DXY00) this morning is up by +0.059 (+0.06%). Dec euro-fx futures (E6Z9) are down -0.0025 (-0.23%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0020 (-0.18%). Dec yen futures (J6Z9) are up +0.0001 (+0.01%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.07 (-0.06%)was little changed. The dollar index is higher this morning on (1) weakness in the Chinese yuan on U.S./China trade concerns, and (2) weakness in EUR/USD on the outlook for easier ECB monetary policy. GBP/USD rallied on hopes for a Brexit deal. The Chinese yuan is down -0.19% against the dollar today after Bloomberg reported that China wants the U.S. to roll back tariffs on its goods before it could buy as much as $50 billion annually of U.S. agriculture products as part of the "phase one" trade deal. The yuan was also pressured by weak producer prices (which was dovish for PBOC policy) after today's data showed that the China Sep PPI eased to a 3-year low of -1.2% y/y. A positive factor for the Chinese yuan was today's Chinese credit data that showed China Sep new yuan loans rose +1.690 trillion yuan, stronger than expectations of +1.260 trillion yuan and the biggest increase in 6 months. Also, Sep aggregate financing, the broadest measure of credit growth, rose by +2.270 trillion yuan, stronger than expectations of +1.900 trillion yuan. In addition, today's data showed China Sep CPI rose +3.0% y/y, stronger than expectations of +1.9% y/y and the largest increase in 5-3/4 years. EUR/USD fell back today on dovish comments from ECB Governing Council member Vasiliauskas who said a simulative monetary policy in the Eurozone is "justified" given the gloomy global economic outlook. EUR/USD was underpinned by today's report that the German Oct ZEW survey expectations of economic growth index fell by only -0.3 to -22.8, stronger than expectations of -3.9 to -26.4. GBP/USD is up by +0.33% today on some Brexit optimism after the EU's chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, said that a Brexit deal is possible this week. Also, Finnish Prime Minister Rinne said today that an extension to the Brexit deadline may come up at the EU summit at the end of the week and there are grounds to consider it. Intensive talks are continuing to try to produce an agreement to be considered at the EU Summit this Thursday and Friday. If a Brexit agreement isn't reached by Saturday (Oct 19), the UK Parliament's Benn act requires PM Johnson to request an extension of the current Brexit deadline of Oct 31. The dollar was undercut by the IMF's cut today in in its global 2019 GDP forecast to a 10-year low of 3.0% from a 3.2% estimate in July, the fifth time this year that the IMF has cut its GDP forecast. Weaker global economic growth is dovish for Fed policy.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Japanese Yen
Contract Size
JPY 12,500,000
Tick Size
0.0000005 points ($6.25 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$125,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,365/2,150
First Notice Date
06/17/19
Expiration Date
06/17/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Japanese Yen Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 8, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
64,209 (+4,705)
79,599 (-538)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
52,803 (-5,090)
41,791 (-2,185)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
22,659 (+5,092)
38,945 (+1,795)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
30,790 (+135)
35,633 (-10,851)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
48,832 (-3,054)
35,165 (+6,826)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
3,892 (-2,065)
808 (unch)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.905400 +1.72%
on 05/21/19
0.928400 -0.80%
on 06/05/19
+0.010750 (+1.18%)
since 05/17/19
3-Month
0.893400 +3.08%
on 04/24/19
0.928400 -0.80%
on 06/05/19
+0.017500 (+1.94%)
since 03/15/19
52-Week
0.892550 +3.18%
on 11/12/18
0.949950 -3.05%
on 01/03/19
-0.009800 (-1.05%)
since 06/15/18

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Dollar Gains on Weakness in the Yuan and a Decline in EUR/USD on Dovish ECB Comments

The dollar index (DXY00) this morning is up by +0.059 (+0.06%). Dec euro-fx futures (E6Z9) are down -0.0025 (-0.23%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0020 (-0.18%). Dec yen futures (J6Z9) are up +0.0001...

Daily Technical Spotlight - December U.S. Treasury Bonds

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U.S. Corporate Earnings Better than Expected

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Cable Is Still Looking Higher! - Elliott Wave Analysis

Cable found some nice support at 1.2515 level but so far it bounced only with three waves, against that sharp intraday turn down, so at the moment it is unclear situation if gbp is going to make a new...

China wants more talks. Euro gains ahead of a potentially ugly ZEW survey.

Chinese officials threw cold water on the optimism about Donald Trumps first phase trade agreement, as they said to be willing to discuss more before signing a deal.

Currency Playbook - Blue Line FX Rundown

Actionable fundamentals and technicals written for the Euro, Yen, Aussie and Canadian

Dollar Rebounds from 3-week Low while GBP/USD Falls on Brexit Doubts

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday rose by +0.153 (+0.16%). Dec euro-fx futures (E6Z9) on Monday closed -0.00130 (-0.12%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) fell -0.00084 (-0.08%). Dec yen futures (J6Z9) on Monday...

The Many Aligning Signals in Gold

Precious metals moved strongly on Friday, and did so on significant volume. The reversals we have seen on Thursday got resolved with a heavy thud. Let's dive into the many charts and perspectives and...

Dollar Rebounds from 3-week Low While GBP/USD Falls on Brexit Doubts

The dollar index (DXY00) today is mildly higher by +0.163 (+0.17%). Dec euro-fx futures (E6Z9) are down -0.00195 (-0.18%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.00105 (-0.10%). Dec yen futures (J6Z9) are up...

Flight to Quality Longs Reestablished Today

Flight to quality longs are being reestablished, including in the U.S. dollar in light of a report that China wants more talks before signing a Phase One trade agreement.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Soft.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 0.922517
1st Resistance Point 0.921733
Last Price 0.920950s
1st Support Level 0.919983
2nd Support Level 0.919017

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52-Week High 0.949950
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.928023
Fibonacci 50% 0.921250
Last Price 0.920950s
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.914477
52-Week Low 0.892550

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InsideFutures Commentary

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