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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Climbs on Positive US Economic News and Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday rose by +0.30%.  The dollar recovered from a 3-1/2 week low Friday and moved moderately higher.  Short covering emerged in the dollar Friday after the University of Michigan US Dec consumer sentiment index rose more than expected to an 8-month high.  Also, hawkish Fed comments supported the dollar when Fed Governor Bowman said the Fed should proceed cautiously with rate cuts, and Cleveland Fed President Hammack said the Fed is near the point of slowing interest rate cuts. 

The dollar Friday initially moved lower on the US Nov payroll report that showed the Nov unemployment rate unexpectedly increased, which boosted the chances for a Fed rate cut at the Dec 17-18 FOMC meeting to 85% from 70% before the report.

US Nov nonfarm payrolls rose +227,000, stronger than expectations of +220,000, and Oct was revised upward to +36,000 from the previously reported +12,000.  The Nov unemployment rate unexpectedly rose +0.1 to 4.2%, showing a weaker lab... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 3, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
401,120 (-63)
366,644 (-2,112)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
167,693 (+11,359)
225,182 (+12,839)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
83,527 (+14,689)
228,067 (-4,715)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
330,248 (-8,788)
179,927 (+9,599)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
78,970 (+340)
115,172 (+6,586)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
31,505 (+1,234)
24,097 (-4,564)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.03336 +2.20%
on 11/22/24
1.07279 -1.55%
on 11/11/24
-0.01578 (-1.47%)
since 11/08/24
3-Month
1.03336 +2.20%
on 11/22/24
1.12140 -5.82%
on 09/25/24
-0.04738 (-4.29%)
since 09/09/24
52-Week
1.03336 +2.20%
on 11/22/24
1.12140 -5.82%
on 09/25/24
-0.02013 (-1.87%)
since 12/08/23

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VLKAF : 91.4500 (+1.05%)
BMWYY : 29.2000 (+4.58%)
MBGAF : 56.7300 (+0.69%)
Trump Victory: USD-Stocks 2016 vs Today

Dollar and stocks are up after Trump victory. It was the same back in 2016, but then in December dollar has topped and stocks extended higher. Can we see the same pattern this year?

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.07050
2nd Resistance Point 1.06673
1st Resistance Point 1.06177
Last Price 1.05612
1st Support Level 1.05304
2nd Support Level 1.04927
3rd Support Level 1.04431

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52-Week High 1.12140
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.08777
Fibonacci 50% 1.07738
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.06699
Last Price 1.05612
52-Week Low 1.03336

See More

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