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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)
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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Strong U.S. Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.45% and posted a 3-week high. The dollar moved higher Friday after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic reports on Nov payrolls and Dec consumer sentiment dampened speculation the Fed would begin cutting rates as soon as Q1. The dollar fell back from its best levels Friday after stocks recovered early losses and moved higher, curbing liquidity demand for the dollar. 

Friday’s U.S. economic news was hawkish for Fed policy and bullish for the dollar.  Nov nonfarm payrolls rose +199,000, stronger than expectations of +185,000.  Also, the Nov unemployment rate fell -0.2 to a 4-month low of 3.7%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 3.9%.  In addition, the University of Michigan U.S. Dec consumer sentiment index rose +8.1 to a 4-month high of 69.4, stronger than expectations of 62.0.

The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on Dec 12-13 FOMC and a 0% chanc... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 5, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
404,550 (+15,766)
593,479 (+28,380)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
235,684 (+2,230)
83,324 (-6,965)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
19,995 (+637)
479,853 (+20,742)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
478,523 (+12,571)
92,860 (-935)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
76,280 (+3,047)
64,172 (+1,123)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
35,106 (+1,495)
9,588 (+239)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.06564 +1.00%
on 11/10/23
1.10173 -2.31%
on 11/29/23
+0.00528 (+0.49%)
since 11/08/23
3-Month
1.04487 +3.00%
on 10/03/23
1.10173 -2.31%
on 11/29/23
+0.00618 (+0.58%)
since 09/08/23
52-Week
1.04487 +3.00%
on 10/03/23
1.12754 -4.55%
on 07/18/23
+0.02082 (+1.97%)
since 12/08/22

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$USDMXN: How the Path of the Pair Correlates with World Indices

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.08769
2nd Resistance Point 1.08388
1st Resistance Point 1.08006
Last Price 1.07625
1st Support Level 1.07243
2nd Support Level 1.06862
3rd Support Level 1.06480

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52-Week High 1.12754
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.09596
Fibonacci 50% 1.08621
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.07645
Last Price 1.07625
52-Week Low 1.04487

See More

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