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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Escalating Greenland Tensions Sink the Dollar and Boost Precious Metals

The dollar index (DXY00) dropped to a 2-week low on Tuesday and finished down by -0.79%.  The dollar retreated on Tuesday as President Trump's push to take over Greenland is reviving fears of trade confrontations between the US and its European allies, with little sign of de-escalation. 

Overnight, President Trump threatened steep tariffs on French champagne after French President Macron ruled out joining a US-led peace initiative.  There are also fears that rising tensions in Greenland could prompt European investors to dump their dollar assets.  President Trump over the weekend announced a 10% tariff on goods from eight European countries starting February 1, rising to 25% in June, unless there's a deal for the "purchase of Greenland."

The markets are discounting the odds at 5% for a -25 bp rate cut at the FOMC's next meeting on January 27-28.

The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, wh... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 13, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
487,595 (+17,934)
667,362 (-18,118)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
283,592 (-14,661)
150,936 (+15,495)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
52,405 (+7,246)
536,979 (-19,193)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
555,117 (+11,451)
151,001 (+6,022)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
103,621 (-15,949)
78,229 (+9,259)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,362 (-1,218)
14,407 (-454)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.15785 +1.21%
on 01/19/26
1.18082 -0.75%
on 12/24/25
+0.00100 (+0.09%)
since 12/19/25
3-Month
1.14690 +2.18%
on 11/05/25
1.18082 -0.75%
on 12/24/25
+0.01195 (+1.03%)
since 10/21/25
52-Week
1.02110 +14.77%
on 02/03/25
1.19186 -1.67%
on 09/17/25
+0.12911 (+12.38%)
since 01/21/25

Most Recent Stories

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Aussie Rally Fades Near December Highs

AUD/USD stalled near the 0.67 resistance area, which marked the September 2025 high, and the subsequent three-wave pullback suggests the move is still corrective. After briefly testing the December highs,...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.19137
2nd Resistance Point 1.18389
1st Resistance Point 1.17823
Last Price 1.17190
1st Support Level 1.16509
2nd Support Level 1.15761
3rd Support Level 1.15195

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52-Week High 1.19186
Last Price 1.17189
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.12663
Fibonacci 50% 1.10648
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.08633
52-Week Low 1.02110

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