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Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Drops to a Fresh 3-Month Low on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday fell -0.228 (-0.24%) to a 3-month low. September euro-fx futures (E6U9) closed up +0.0031 (+0.28%) at a 3-month high, and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) rose +0.0028 (+0.25%) to a 3-month high. September yen futures (J6U9) closed up +0.07 (+0.08%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) rose +0.03 (+0.03%). The dollar index fell Monday for a fourth consecutive session and posted a fresh 3-month low. The dollar continues to weaken on speculation the Fed will move to cut interest rates as soon as July, faster than other global central banks will move. A decline in T-note yields on Monday also weighed on the dollar since lower yields weaken the dollar's interest rate differentials. Another bearish factor was Monday's U.S. data that showed the Jun Dallas Fed manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell -6.8 to a 3-year low of -12.1, weaker than expectations of +3.3 to -2.0. A negative for EUR/USD was Monday's data that showed the German Jun IFO business climate index fell -0.5 to a 4-1/2 year low of 97.4.

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 18, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
250,067 (-39,130)
222,928 (-4,123)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
162,795 (+13,134)
215,125 (-21,328)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
33,650 (-1,412)
122,836 (+10,378)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
291,949 (-5,273)
152,022 (+3,118)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
35,140 (+3,974)
123,984 (-10,581)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,130 (+4,134)
11,218 (-947)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.11160 +2.52%
on 05/30/19
1.14039 -0.07%
on 06/24/19
+0.01930 (+1.72%)
since 05/24/19
3-Month
1.11074 +2.60%
on 05/23/19
1.14039 -0.07%
on 06/24/19
+0.00962 (+0.85%)
since 03/22/19
52-Week
1.11074 +2.60%
on 05/23/19
1.18148 -3.55%
on 09/24/18
-0.02559 (-2.20%)
since 06/22/18

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Oil gains, stocks mixed on Iran tensions

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.14380
1st Resistance Point 1.14030
Last Price 1.13952
1st Support Level 1.13079
2nd Support Level 1.12478

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52-Week High 1.18148
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.15446
Fibonacci 50% 1.14611
Last Price 1.13952
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.13776
52-Week Low 1.11074

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