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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rises as Trade Tensions Undercut Stocks

The dollar index (DXY00) Monday rose by +0.30% and posted a 1.5-week high. The weakness in stocks on Monday boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar.  The dollar extended its gains Monday when President Trump announced plans to hike tariffs on several countries, including Japan, South Korea, Laos, South Africa, Myanmar, and Malaysia, with rates ranging from 25% to 40%, effective August 1.  The higher tariffs could boost inflation and prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates, a supportive factor for the dollar. 

Gains in the dollar were limited on Monday after President Trump signed the reconciliation bill into law on Friday, when US markets were closed.  The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill will add $3.4 trillion to US budget deficits over the next decade.  The fiscal stimulus from the bill will be a net positive for the US economy, but the higher deficit is negative for the dollar as it increases the risk of an eventual debt crisis in the... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 1, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
430,913 (+13,550)
591,577 (+9,913)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
224,979 (+1,188)
117,442 (+4,786)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
34,128 (+2,651)
468,358 (+9,382)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
461,525 (+3,362)
116,188 (-4,244)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
91,623 (+2,985)
76,402 (+8,857)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
38,876 (+3,771)
18,331 (-1,265)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.13732 +2.96%
on 06/10/25
1.18295 -1.01%
on 07/01/25
+0.03155 (+2.77%)
since 06/06/25
3-Month
1.09147 +7.29%
on 04/09/25
1.18295 -1.01%
on 07/01/25
+0.07524 (+6.87%)
since 04/08/25
52-Week
1.01776 +15.06%
on 01/13/25
1.18295 -1.01%
on 07/01/25
+0.08863 (+8.19%)
since 07/08/24

Most Recent Stories

More News
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Stock Market Today: Stock Rise on Hope for Resumption of Trade and Data Winds

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There was only a minor rebound on the dollar index, which is typically seen as a safe haven during geopolitical tensions. So apparently, we could still see more weakness on the dollar—but of course,...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.18723
2nd Resistance Point 1.18310
1st Resistance Point 1.17698
Last Price 1.17187
1st Support Level 1.16673
2nd Support Level 1.16260
3rd Support Level 1.15648

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52-Week High 1.18295
Last Price 1.17187
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.11985
Fibonacci 50% 1.10035
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.08086
52-Week Low 1.01776

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