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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rallies on a Strong US Payroll Report

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday rose by +0.51% and posted a 7-week high. The dollar has rallied every day this week as stronger-than-expected US economic news reduced the chances for a 50 bp Fed rate cut at next month’s FOMC meeting.  Friday’s US Sep payroll report added to recent hawkish news as nonfarm payrolls and average hourly earnings rose more than expected, hawkish factors for Fed policy.  According to the swaps market, the chances of a 50 bp rate cut by the Fed at the November 6-7 FOMC meeting fell to 0% Friday from 35% Thursday.  The dollar also has support on increased safe-haven demand from the escalation of hostilities in the Middle East.   

US Sep nonfarm payrolls rose +254,000, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of +150,000 and the largest increase in 6 months.  The Sep unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to 4.1%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 4.2%.

US Sep average hourly earnings rose +0.4% m/m and +4... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 1, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
381,281 (+1,704)
474,983 (-17,422)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
178,273 (-9,522)
122,946 (+6,849)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
12,963 (-1,094)
355,422 (-16,653)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
421,463 (-7,298)
127,162 (+1,392)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
70,416 (-498)
70,519 (+4,371)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
25,007 (-2)
15,121 (-757)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.09513 +0.21%
on 10/04/24
1.12140 -2.14%
on 09/25/24
-0.01082 (-0.98%)
since 09/04/24
3-Month
1.07778 +1.82%
on 08/01/24
1.12140 -2.14%
on 09/25/24
+0.01617 (+1.50%)
since 07/04/24
52-Week
1.04830 +4.69%
on 10/06/23
1.12140 -2.14%
on 09/25/24
+0.04693 (+4.47%)
since 10/04/23

Most Recent Stories

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.10919
2nd Resistance Point 1.10708
1st Resistance Point 1.10507
Last Price 1.09752
1st Support Level 1.10095
2nd Support Level 1.09884
3rd Support Level 1.09683

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52-Week High 1.12140
Last Price 1.09752
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.09348
Fibonacci 50% 1.08485
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.07622
52-Week Low 1.04830

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