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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Supported by Higher Bond Yields and Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00) today is up by +0.19% on support from higher T-note yields.  Also, hawkish comments today from Chicago Fed President Goolsbee boosted the dollar when he said the next Fed rate cut may take longer than anticipated because of economic uncertainty.  In addition, weakness in the British pound benefits the dollar after weaker-than-expected UK Feb CPI knocked GBP/USD down to a 2-week low.  Gains in the dollar are limited after US Feb core capital goods new orders unexpectedly declined.

US MBA mortgage applications fell -2.0% in the week ended March 21, with the purchase mortgage sub-index up +0.7% and the refinancing mortgage sub-index down -5.3%.  The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell -1 bp to 6.71% from 6.72% in the prior week. 

US Feb capital goods new orders (core) nondefense ex-aircraft and parts unexpectedly fell -0.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and the biggest decline in 7 months. The markets are on guard for any weakness... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 18, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
359,417 (-35,088)
451,777 (+9,425)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
188,952 (+305)
129,527 (-46,030)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
16,659 (-11,711)
329,538 (+37,875)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
380,024 (+4,915)
121,536 (-14,342)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
87,050 (-3,043)
73,191 (-22,821)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
29,749 (+2,555)
22,152 (-9,818)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.03600 +4.19%
on 02/28/25
1.09544 -1.47%
on 03/18/25
+0.03090 (+2.95%)
since 02/26/25
3-Month
1.01776 +6.05%
on 01/13/25
1.09544 -1.47%
on 03/18/25
+0.03720 (+3.57%)
since 12/26/24
52-Week
1.01776 +6.05%
on 01/13/25
1.12140 -3.75%
on 09/25/24
-0.00375 (-0.35%)
since 03/26/24

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.08754
2nd Resistance Point 1.08529
1st Resistance Point 1.08222
Last Price 1.07896
1st Support Level 1.07690
2nd Support Level 1.07465
3rd Support Level 1.07158

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52-Week High 1.12140
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.08181
Last Price 1.07896
Fibonacci 50% 1.06958
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.05735
52-Week Low 1.01776

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