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Gasoline RBOB Feb '19 (RBG19)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Rallies to a 3-1/4 Month High on Demand Optimism

Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) this morning is up +$0.74 (+1.30%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) is up +$0.51 (+0.76%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) is up +0.071 cents per gallon (+0.40%). The energy complex rallied to 3-1/4 month highs this morning on optimism the U.S. and China will find a resolution to their trade conflict, which could boost global economic growth and energy demand. Crude prices have been firm for most of this week on signs of smaller global supplies after Tuesday's report that Saudi Arabian crude exports fell sharply by -1.3 million bpd in the first half of Feb compared with the same period last month. Another supportive factor is today's projection from tanker tracker Oil Movements that OPEC crude oil shipments will decline by -260,000 bpd to 24.08 million bpd in the four weeks to March 9. Gasoline prices also have carry-over support from Thursday's EIA data showing that weekly EIA gasoline stockpiles fell -1.454 million bbl, a bigger decline than expectations of -500,000 bbl. Thursday's weekly EIA data was mostly bearish as it showed a +0.8% w/w increase in U.S. crude production the week of Feb 15 to a record high of 12.0 million bpd and also showed that U.S. crude inventories rose +3.67 million bbl to a 1-1/4 year high of 454.5 million bbl, above expectations of +3.0 million bbl increase. In addition, crude stocks at Cushing, the delivery point for WTI crude oil futures, jumped +3.41 million bbl to a 13-month high.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
02/04/19
Expiration Date
01/31/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Feb '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
194,378 (-11,898)
274,995 (-13,443)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
128,763 (-513)
49,041 (+2,095)
Producers - Long / Short
122,449 (-13,053)
242,306 (-11,614)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
43,483 (+1,995)
4,243 (-989)
Managed Money - Long / Short
82,948 (+1,516)
35,499 (+4,187)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
45,815 (-2,029)
13,542 (-2,092)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.2685 +7.43%
on 01/02/19
1.4677 -7.15%
on 01/18/19
+0.0606 (+4.65%)
since 12/31/18
3-Month
1.2293 +10.85%
on 12/26/18
1.7678 -22.92%
on 11/01/18
-0.4000 (-22.69%)
since 10/31/18
52-Week
1.2293 +10.85%
on 12/26/18
2.1554 -36.78%
on 10/03/18
-0.3864 (-22.09%)
since 01/30/18

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Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) this morning is up +$0.74 (+1.30%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) is up +$0.51 (+0.76%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) is up +0.071 cents per gallon (+0.40%). The energy...

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Crude Oil Falls on Bearish Weeklyk EIA report

Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) on Thursday closed down -$0.20 (-0.35%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) closed down -$0.01 (-0.01%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) closed up +0.341 cents per gallon (+0.19%)....

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.4322
1st Resistance Point 1.3975
Last Price 1.3627s
1st Support Level 1.3424
2nd Support Level 1.3220

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52-Week High 2.1554
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.8016
Fibonacci 50% 1.6924
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.5831
Last Price 1.3627s
52-Week Low 1.2293

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