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Arabica Coffee 4/5 May '11 (XFK11)

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Arabica Coffee 4/5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Retreat on the Outlook for Ample Supplies

March arabica coffee (KCH26) on Friday closed down -6.90 (-1.83%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF26) closed down -84 (-2.00%).

Coffee prices fell sharply on Friday, with robusta posting a 2.5-month low.  The outlook for ample coffee supplies is weighing on prices.  Last Thursday, Conab, Brazil's crop forecasting agency, raised its total Brazil 2025 coffee production estimate by 2.4% to 56.54 million bags, from a September estimate of 55.20 million bags.  

Robusta coffee remains under pressure amid concerns about abundant supplies.  Vietnam's National Statistics Office reported last Friday that Vietnam's Nov coffee exports jumped +39% y/y to 88,000 MT and that Jan-Nov coffee exports rose +14.8% y/y to 1.398 MMT.

Arabica coffee has support from Wednesday when exporter group Cecafe reported that Brazil's Nov green coffee exports fell -27% y/y to 3.3 million bags.  

Below-normal precipitation in Brazil is supportive of coffee prices.  Somar Meteorologia repo... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Arabica Coffee Type 4/5
Contract Size
100 bags weighting 60-net kilograms each
Tick Size
USD 0.05 per 60-net kilogram bag ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
9:00a.m. - 4:00p.m. (4:30p.m. - 6:00p.m. after hours T+1)
Exchange
BM&F Bovespa
Point Value
$100
Expiration Date
05/23/11 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Arabica Coffee 4/5 May '11
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
334.10 +1.65%
on 05/20/11
398.20 -14.72%
on 05/03/11
-47.35 (-12.24%)
since 04/20/11
3-Month
333.05 +1.97%
on 04/04/11
398.20 -14.72%
on 05/03/11
-12.95 (-3.67%)
since 02/23/11
52-Week
161.25 +110.60%
on 06/08/10
398.20 -14.72%
on 05/03/11
+178.75 (+111.13%)
since 05/21/10

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Sugar Prices Climb as the Brazilian Real Strengthens

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26 ) on Friday closed up +0.25 (+1.68%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26 ) closed up +5.20 (+1.23%). Sugar prices settled sharply higher on Friday, with NY sugar...

SBH26 : 15.10s (+1.68%)
^USDBRL : 5.41880 (+0.19%)
SWH26 : 429.40s (+1.23%)
Cocoa Prices Settle Mixed on Currency Fluctuations

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH26 ) on Friday closed down -9 (-0.14%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26 ) closed up +58 (+1.29%). Cocoa prices settled mixed on Friday, consolidating this week's gains. NY...

DXY00 : 98.399s (+0.05%)
CCH26 : 6,279s (-0.14%)
CAH26 : 4,555s (+1.29%)
Coffee Prices Retreat on the Outlook for Ample Supplies

March arabica coffee (KCH26 ) on Friday closed down -6.90 (-1.83%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF26 ) closed down -84 (-2.00%). Coffee prices fell sharply on Friday, with robusta posting a 2.5-month...

RMH26 : 3,999s (-2.63%)
KCH26 : 369.30s (-1.83%)
Cotton Slipping at Friday’s Midday

Cotton futures are back to slightly weaker trade on Friday, with contracts down 2 to 5 points in the nearbys. Crude oil futures are up 5 cents per barrel at $57.64, with the US dollar index $0.21 lower...

CTK26 : 64.91s (-0.22%)
CTH26 : 63.83s (-0.22%)
CTZ24 : 71.40s (-1.37%)
Brazilian Real Strength Spurs Short Covering in Sugar Futures

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26 ) today is up +0.22 (+1.48%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26 ) is up +4.30 (+1.01%). Sugar prices are moving sharply higher today, with NY sugar posting a 2-week...

SBH26 : 15.10s (+1.68%)
SWH26 : 429.40s (+1.23%)
Cocoa Prices Consolidate Recent Gains

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH26 ) today is up +7 (+0.11%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26 ) is up +68 (+0.51%). Cocoa prices are moving higher today, consolidating this week's gains. Cocoa prices rallied...

CCH26 : 6,279s (-0.14%)
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Coffee Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease

March arabica coffee (KCH26 ) today is down -7.50 (-1.99%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF26 ) is down -78 (-1.85%). Coffee prices are sharply lower today, with robusta falling to a 2.5-month low....

RMH26 : 3,999s (-2.63%)
KCH26 : 369.30s (-1.83%)

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 339.60
1st Resistance Point 339.60
Last Price 339.60s
1st Support Level 339.60
2nd Support Level 339.60
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 398.20
Last Price 339.60s
Fibonacci 61.8% 307.69
Fibonacci 50% 279.73
Fibonacci 38.2% 251.76
52-Week Low 161.25

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