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Silver 1000-oz Sep '19 (SOU19)

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Silver 1000-oz Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Settle Lower as Stocks Rally on Reduced Trade Tensions

Dec Comex gold (GCZ19) on Monday closed down -12.0 (-0.79%), and Sep silver (SIU19) closed down -0.182 (-1.06%). Metals prices moved lower Monday as an easing of U.S./China trade tensions fueled a rally in stocks that curbed the safe-haven demand for precious metals. Trade tensions eased Monday and the dollar rose after U.S. Commerce Secretary Ross said Monday that China's Huawei Technologies has been granted a 90-day extension to do business in the U.S. Also, White House economic director Kudlow said on Sunday that recent phone calls between U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators have been "positive." The yuan on Monday fell -0.11% to 7.0507 yuan/USD, just above last Tuesday's 11-1/4 year low of 7.0726 yuan/USD. On the positive side for gold was Monday's downward revision to Eurozone July CPI to a 2-1/2 year low of 1.0% y/y from 1.1% y/y. The weak inflation picture prompted ECB Governing Council member Muller to say Monday that "Eurozone inflation clearly trails the target, and this may mean the ECB will have to add stimulus." Additional stimulus from the ECB may further boost demand for gold as a store of wealth. Ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions, along with dovish central bank expectations, have sparked fund buying of precious metals as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 6-1/4 year high last Friday and long silver positions in ETFs rose to a new record high last Friday.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Silver 1,000-oz
Contract Size
1,000 troy ounces
Tick Size
$0.01 per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract) (Settlement $0.001)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Expiration Date
09/26/19 (38 days)

Seasonal Chart

Silver 1000-oz Sep '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
15.940 +5.65%
on 08/01/19
17.490 -3.72%
on 08/13/19
+0.645 (+3.98%)
since 07/19/19
3-Month
14.360 +17.27%
on 05/28/19
17.490 -3.72%
on 08/13/19
+2.317 (+15.95%)
since 05/20/19

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 17.320
1st Resistance Point 17.130
Last Price 16.880
1st Support Level 16.790
2nd Support Level 16.640

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52-Week High 17.490
Last Price 16.880
Fibonacci 61.8% 16.294
Fibonacci 50% 15.925
Fibonacci 38.2% 15.556
52-Week Low 14.360

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