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Silver Jul '19 (SIN19)

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Silver Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Close Higher on Weak Stocks and a Weak Dollar

Jun Comex gold (GCM19) on Wednesday closed up +1.0 (+0.08%) and July silver closed up +0.039 (+0.27%). A weaker dollar Wednesday boosted precious metals prices as did a slide in stocks, which fueled safe-haven demand for precious metals. Stock prices retreated and precious metals rose Wednesday on fears of escalation of the U.S./China trade and tech war after a report said the U.S. was considering blacklisting Chinese video-surveillance firms. Silver prices also found support Wednesday on stronger-than-expected Japanese economic data after Japan Mar core machine orders unexpectedly rose +3.8% m/m, the biggest increase in 5 months and a positive factor for industrial metals demand. Gold also received a lift Wednesday on dovish comments from St. Louis Fed President Bullard (FOMC voter) who said he "wouldn't rule out" a Fed rate cut later this year. In addition, the higher risk of a no-deal Brexit is a supportive factor for gold as a safe-haven after UK Prime Minister May's revised Brexit plan on Tuesday was thoroughly panned by most MPs. The ongoing US/Chinese trade and tech conflict has boosted fund buying of gold as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 2-week high Tuesday. However, concern the trade conflict will reduce global growth and demand for industrial metals has sparked fund liquidation of silver as long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 3-week low Tuesday. Gold prices fell back from their best levels on reduced inflation expectations that curb demand for gold as an inflation hedge after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate on Wednesday fell to a 3-1/2 month low of 1.802%.

Contract Specifications

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Silver 5,000-oz
Contract Size
5,000 troy ounces
Tick Size
$0.005 per troy ounce ($25.00 per contract) (Settlement $0.001)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:25a.m. - 12:25p.m.) (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
06/28/19 (37 days)
Expiration Date
07/29/19 (68 days)

Seasonal Chart

Silver Jul '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
79,189 (+1,440)
91,967 (-2,441)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
77,542 (+196)
79,751 (+1,448)
Producers - Long / Short
26,120 (+2,141)
46,745 (+4,103)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
50,220 (+339)
42,373 (-5,504)
Managed Money - Long / Short
57,135 (+924)
71,332 (+982)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
20,407 (-728)
8,419 (+466)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
14.350 +0.42%
on 05/21/19
15.120 -4.70%
on 04/26/19
-0.455 (-3.06%)
since 04/23/19
14.350 +0.42%
on 05/21/19
16.145 -10.75%
on 02/25/19
-1.696 (-10.53%)
since 02/22/19
14.175 +1.66%
on 11/14/18
17.800 -19.04%
on 06/14/18
-2.526 (-14.91%)
since 05/23/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 14.543
1st Resistance Point 14.496
Last Price 14.410
1st Support Level 14.386
2nd Support Level 14.323

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52-Week High 17.800
Fibonacci 61.8% 16.415
Fibonacci 50% 15.987
Fibonacci 38.2% 15.560
Last Price 14.410
52-Week Low 14.175

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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