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Coffee Dec '20 (KCZ20)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Settle Higher after Rabobank Projects a Smaller Global 2021/22 Coffee Surplus

Mar arabica coffee (KCH21) on Wednesday closed up +1.25 (+1.08%), and Jan ICE Robusta coffee (RMF21) closed up +13 (+0.96%).

Coffee prices on Wednesday posted moderate gains on short-covering after Rabobank on Wednesday forecasted that the global 2021/22 coffee surplus would narrow to +2.2 mln bags from a +10.2 mln bag surplus in 2020/21 due to a projected decline in Brazil coffee production. Rabobank said Brazil 2021/22 coffee production would fall -10% y/y to 60.7 mln bags as coffee trees enter the lower-yielding half of the biennial cycle. There is also concern about the coffee crop due to insufficient rain in Brazil's coffee-growing regions.

On Tuesday, arabica coffee fell to a 1-week low, and robusta fell to a 2-week low Wednesday before recovering. A rebound in coffee inventories weighed on prices after ICE-monitored arabica coffee inventories on Tuesday rose to a 2-3/4 month high of 1.247 mln bags, recovering further from the 20-year low of 1.096... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$4,455/4,050
First Notice Date
11/19/20
Expiration Date
12/18/20 (22 days)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Dec '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 17, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
153,927 (-3,054)
183,607 (-4,478)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
53,320 (-8,646)
30,413 (-7,547)
Producers - Long / Short
98,989 (-3,003)
151,260 (-692)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
48,833 (+2,551)
26,242 (-1,184)
Managed Money - Long / Short
34,402 (-534)
26,985 (-8,304)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
18,918 (-8,112)
3,428 (+757)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
102.15 +12.09%
on 11/04/20
121.20 -5.53%
on 11/20/20
+8.90 (+8.43%)
since 10/23/20
3-Month
102.15 +12.09%
on 11/04/20
135.45 -15.47%
on 09/04/20
-8.45 (-6.87%)
since 08/25/20
52-Week
96.90 +18.16%
on 06/16/20
148.75 -23.03%
on 12/17/19
-12.40 (-9.77%)
since 11/25/19

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 115.67
1st Resistance Point 115.08
Last Price 114.50s
1st Support Level 113.98
2nd Support Level 113.47

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52-Week High 148.75
Fibonacci 61.8% 128.94
Fibonacci 50% 122.82
Fibonacci 38.2% 116.71
Last Price 114.50s
52-Week Low 96.90

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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