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Coffee Mar '19 (KCH19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Climb on Strength in the Brazilian Real

May arabica coffee (KCK19) this morning is up +0.65 (+0.65%) and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK19) is up +2 (+0.13%). Coffee prices moved higher this morning as strength in the Brazilian real against the dollar has sparked short-covering in coffee futures. Strength in the real discourages exports from Brazil's coffee producers. May arabica coffee on Thursday fell to a contract low and May robusta coffee fell to a 1-week low on signs of ample rain in Brazil's coffee-growing regions. Somar Meteorologia reported on Monday that 79.6 mm of rain fell in the past week in Minas Gerais, Brazil's biggest arabica coffee-growing region, or 186% of the historical average, which should boost soil moisture levels and coffee yields. Robusta coffee also found support today after Vietnam's provincial weather office said rain in Vietnam's Central Highlands, the country's largest coffee-growing region, will be lower than the historical average though the end of this month. On the negative side is increased supply in Vietnam, the world's biggest robusta producer, after Vietnam's General Department of Customs reported that Vietnam Jan coffee exports rose +19.4% m/m +41.1% y/y to 183,693 MT. Coffee prices are also seeing downward pressure from ample coffee supplies after the International Coffee Organization (ICO) last Monday reported that global coffee exports during Oct-Dec were up +8.1% y/y at 30.9 mln bags. In addition, ICE-monitored coffee inventories are just below the 4-1/2 year high of 2.489 mln bags posted on Jan 23.
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