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Gold Feb '23 (GCG23)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slightly Lower as T-note Yields Fall

The dollar index (DXY00) today is slightly lower by -0.11%.  The dollar is being undercut by today's -6.5 bp decline in the 10-year T-note yield, which undercut the dollar's interest rate differentials. 

The dollar is also being undercut as the markets this week slightly boosted the odds for a rate cut at next week's meeting to 7% from 3% on Monday, while the markets are now expecting a 100% chance of a rate cut at the following meeting on September 17-18, up from 97% on Monday.

The main bullish factor for the dollar is today's US economic reports, which were mostly stronger than expected. 

US Q2 real GDP rose +2.8% (y/y annualized), stronger than expectations of +2.0% and up from Q1's growth rate of +1.4%.  In addition, Q3 personal consumption rose +2.3%, stronger than expectations of +2.0% and up from Q1's growth rate of +1.5%.  The GDP report helped to ease market fears about reduced consumer spending and a slowing economy.  The inflation news in the report was... Read more

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