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U.S. Dollar Index Jun '19 (DXM19)

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U.S. Dollar Index Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Climbs to a 2-Week High on Weakness in the British Pound and Chinese Yuan

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.014 (+0.14%) to a 2-week high. June euro-fx futures (E6M9) closed down -11 (-0.10%) at a 2-week low and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) fell -0.0011 (-0.10%) to a 2-week low. June yen futures (J6M9) closed down -22 (-0.24%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) rose +0.09 (+0.08%). Weakness in the British pound and the Chinese yuan against the dollar Friday helped push the dollar index up to a 2-week high. GBP/USD fell to a 4-month low after a UK government spokesman said talks with the opposition Labour party had ended without reaching a Brexit deal, likely ending Prime Minister May's hopes of getting her Brexit deal approved by Parliament in another vote expected in early June. The Chinese yuan tumbled to a 5-month low against the dollar Friday after China signaled a lack of interest in resuming trade talks with the U.S. due to the current threat to raise tariffs. EUR/USD fell to a 2-week low after the 10-year German bund yield fell to -0.104%, just above Wednesday's 2-1/2 year low of -0.132%, which is negative for the euro's interest rate differentials. Losses in EUR/USD were limited Friday after the Eurozone Apr core CPI was revised upward to +1.3% y/y from the previously reported +1.2% y/y, the fastest pace of increase in 2 years, which is hawkish for European Central Bank policy. USD/JPY recovered from early losses and moved higher after stocks recovered from their worst levels, which reduced the safe-haven demand for the yen. Big Picture Dollar Factors: Bullish factors for the dollar index include (1) the Fed's balance sheet drawdown program through September and the Fed-dot forecast for one more rate hike in 2020 vs near-zero policy rates by the ECB and BOJ, (2) relative strength in the U.S. economy, and (3) the repatriation of U.S. corporate overseas cash under the 2018 tax law. Bearish factors include (1) market expectations for at least one Fed rate cut through 2020, (2) trade tensions and Washington political uncertainty, and (3) the wide U.S. budget and current account deficits. Bearish factors for EUR/USD include (1) the ECB's promise to leave interest rates unchanged at least through end-2019, (2) weak Eurozone economic growth, (3) the slump in the 10-year bund yield to a 2-1/2 year low of -0.132%, which undercuts the euro's interest rate differentials, and (4) Brexit risks.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
U.S. Dollar Index
Contract Size
$1,000 times Index
Tick Size
0.005 points ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (5:00p.m. Sunday) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,815/1,650
First Notice Date
06/17/19 (29 days)
Expiration Date
06/17/19 (29 days)

Seasonal Chart

U.S. Dollar Index Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,030 (+233)
31,119 (-1,316)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
40,211 (-6,691)
13,534 (-5,135)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
487 (+65)
26,476 (unch)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
18,783 (-3,287)
2,605 (+71)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
19,944 (-2,789)
14,519 (-6,477)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
1,987 (-435)
1,013 (-33)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
96.620 +1.25%
on 04/18/19
98.085 -0.27%
on 04/26/19
+1.166 (+1.21%)
since 04/17/19
3-Month
95.170 +2.79%
on 03/20/19
98.085 -0.27%
on 04/26/19
+1.604 (+1.67%)
since 02/15/19

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 98.028
1st Resistance Point 97.926
Last Price 97.824s
1st Support Level 97.656
2nd Support Level 97.488

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52-Week High 98.085
Last Price 97.824s
Fibonacci 61.8% 95.894
Fibonacci 50% 95.217
Fibonacci 38.2% 94.541
52-Week Low 92.350

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