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Lean Hogs May '22 (HEK22)
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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

July Hogs Led the Friday Rally

July lean hog futures closed ~60 cents under their session high, but still up by a 2.8%. That netted a weekly gain of $4.97. The other front months closed $0.20 to $1.52 in the black on Friday. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price for Friday afternoon dropped by $8.60 to $85.52. The CME Lean Hog Index for 6/7 was 76 cents stronger to $83.80. 

The $7.50 lean hog rally through the first week of June was attributed to managed money short covering. The latest CoT update had the group with 13.8k (19%) fewer short contracts. That reduced the group’s net short to 16,173 contracts as of 6/6. 

USDA made little changes to their pork production outlook in the monthly WASDE. Q2 was trimmed by 5m lbs to 6.64 billion, which left the full year output at 27.376 billion. 

Pork cutout futures closed with a 5 cent gain for June, as its OI dwindles, and a $2.42 gain for the July contract. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value was $2.71 higher to $88.39. USDA estimated the week’s... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,705/1,550
First Notice Date
05/13/22
Expiration Date
05/13/22 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs May '22
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 6, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
88,831 (-1,130)
56,874 (+146)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
55,832 (+855)
89,335 (-1,756)
Producers - Long / Short
23,786 (+338)
44,062 (+3,872)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
56,026 (+1,592)
3,793 (-666)
Managed Money - Long / Short
41,715 (+3,702)
60,456 (-12,999)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
14,117 (-2,847)
28,879 (+11,243)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
97.875 +2.17%
on 05/02/22
117.050 -14.57%
on 04/19/22
-11.525 (-10.33%)
since 04/13/22
3-Month
97.875 +2.17%
on 05/02/22
120.325 -16.89%
on 03/31/22
-6.400 (-6.02%)
since 02/11/22
52-Week
82.350 +21.43%
on 09/16/21
120.325 -16.89%
on 03/31/22
+11.825 (+13.41%)
since 05/13/21

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ZSN23 : 1386-4s (+1.71%)
ZCN23 : 604-2s (-0.98%)
ZWN23 : 630-2s (+0.64%)
ZMN23 : 397.2s (-1.68%)
ZLN23 : 54.59s (+3.98%)
HEN23 : 89.625s (+2.78%)
LEQ23 : 171.850s (-0.23%)
July Hogs Led the Friday Rally

July lean hog futures closed ~60 cents under their session high, but still up by a 2.8%. That netted a weekly gain of $4.97. The other front months closed $0.20 to $1.52 in the black on Friday. USDA’s...

HEM23 : 87.875s (+0.23%)
HEQ23 : 83.950s (+1.85%)
KMM23 : 88.750s (+0.06%)
Cattle Turned Around for Mostly Higher Close

The live cattle futures market reversed course and ended Friday mostly higher. June and August futures ended in the red by 55 and 40 cents respectively, while the deferred months closed up by 10 to 15...

LEM23 : 178.225s (-0.31%)
LEQ23 : 171.850s (-0.23%)
LEV23 : 174.800s (+0.06%)
GFQ23 : 239.000s (+0.15%)
GFU23 : 241.700s (+0.09%)
Shootin' the Bull about 5 waves up

The extensive capital requirements to produce a pound of beef continues to move higher.  As producers assume more risk, from higher and higher prices, I believe that more diligence should be applied to...

Hog Prices Gaining Triple Digits

Front month lean hog futures are working $0.15 to $1.90 in the black. The July contract is again leading the way. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price for Friday morning dropped by $8.82 to $85.25....

HEM23 : 87.875s (+0.23%)
HEQ23 : 83.950s (+1.85%)
KMM23 : 88.750s (+0.06%)
Red Midday for Cattle Market

Front month cattle futures are trading mostly lower, save for a 25 cent gain in June. The active months are down by 32 to 82 cents so far. Feeders are down triple digits at midday, with losses of as much...

LEM23 : 178.225s (-0.31%)
LEQ23 : 171.850s (-0.23%)
LEV23 : 174.800s (+0.06%)
LEY00 : 190.000s (unch)
GFQ23 : 239.000s (+0.15%)
GFU23 : 241.700s (+0.09%)
Lean Hogs Get USDA Data Today

Most of the nearby lean hog futures closed in the red on Thursday, with losses from 2 cents in June to $1.30 in October. July contracts however stayed in the black and ended the day up by 27 cents. July...

HEM23 : 87.875s (+0.23%)
HEQ23 : 83.950s (+1.85%)
KMM23 : 88.750s (+0.06%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 100.383
2nd Resistance Point 100.267
1st Resistance Point 100.133
Last Price 100.000s
1st Support Level 99.883
2nd Support Level 99.767
3rd Support Level 99.633

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52-Week High 120.325
Fibonacci 61.8% 105.819
Fibonacci 50% 101.337
Last Price 100.000s
Fibonacci 38.2% 96.856
52-Week Low 82.350

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