
Over the past six months, Fastenal’s shares (currently trading at $45.22) have posted a disappointing 7.5% loss while the S&P 500 was down 1%. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is now the time to buy Fastenal, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Is Fastenal Not Exciting?
Despite the more favorable entry price, we're cautious about Fastenal. Here are two reasons we avoid FAST and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Lackluster Revenue Growth
Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Fastenal’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 5.7% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. We’re wary when companies in the sector see decelerations in revenue growth, as it could signal changing consumer tastes aided by low switching costs. 
2. Recent EPS Growth Below Our Standards
Although long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we like to analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.
Fastenal’s unimpressive 4.4% annual EPS growth over the last two years aligns with its revenue trend. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.
Final Judgment
Fastenal’s business quality ultimately falls short of our standards. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 36.9× forward P/E (or $45.22 per share). At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better opportunities elsewhere. Let us point you toward one of our top digital advertising picks.
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