How Is Amcor’s Stock Performance Compared to Other Material Stocks?

Amcor plc (AMCR), headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, is a global player in the world of packaging solutions. Its Global Flexible Packaging arm supplies polymer, aluminum, and fiber-based products to food, healthcare, and personal care industries. Alongside this, the Global Rigid Packaging division produces containers, closures, and devices specifically tailored for the food and beverage markets.

With a market capitalization of $11.9 billion, Amcor sits comfortably in the “large-cap” bracket, a category reserved for companies valued above $10 billion. It primarily targets customers through its direct sales network, which has supported its size and market presence.

AMCR shares currently trade nearly 28.1% below their 52-week high of $11.48. Over the past three months, the stock has plunged close to 8%, lagging behind the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLB) gain of 4.6% during the same period. 

The broader picture tells a more sobering story. Over the past 52 weeks, AMCR stock slipped 24.3%, and year-to-date it is down 12.3%. By contrast, XLB declined only 3.9% across 52 weeks but is up 7.4% so far this year.

The stock slipped below its 200-day moving average as early as March, establishing a prolonged downtrend, and has remained under its 50-day moving average since mid-August, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

On August 14, AMCR shares plummeted 11.9% after the company announced its Q4 fiscal 2025 results. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year to $5.08 billion, but analysts had penciled in $5.17 billion. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.20, down 5.2% from the prior year and shy of the $0.21 Street’s forecast. Despite the stumble, management reaffirmed that Amcor is well-positioned to achieve total pre-tax synergy benefits of $650 million by the end of fiscal 2028 from its all-stock acquisition of Berry Global. The teams are on track to deliver $260 million of pre-tax synergy benefits in fiscal 2026, translating into 12% accretion as a direct outcome of the integration.

Looking forward, Amcor expects adjusted EPS of about $0.80 to $0.83 for fiscal 2026. Free cash flow is projected to be between $1.8 billion and $1.9 billion, even after deducting nearly $220 million in net cash integration and transaction costs associated with the Berry Global acquisition.

Ball Corporation (BALL), a close competitor, has seen its stock drop 26.6% over the past 52 weeks and fall 11.7% year-to-date, mirroring AMCR’s performance. 

Still, analysts hold an optimistic stance on AMCR. Out of 14 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is “Moderate Buy”. The mean price target stands at $11.10, implying a premium of 34.5% to current levels.