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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Recovers and Moves Higher as Bond Yields Climb and Stocks Falter

The dollar index (DXY00) Thursday rose by +0.15%.  The dollar on Thursday recovered from early losses and rallied to a 1-week high after better-than-expected US economic reports bolstered the outlook for the Fed to delay interest rate cuts further.  Weekly US jobless claims fell more than expected and the May S&P manufacturing PMI unexpectedly increased, which are hawkish factors for Fed policy. The dollar extended its advance Thursday afternoon when stocks gave up an early rally and turned lower, sparking liquidity demand for the dollar.

The US Apr Chicago Fed national activity index fell -0.19 to -0.23, weaker than expectations of +0.13.

US weekly initial unemployment claims fell -8,00 to 215,000, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of 220,000.

The US May S&P manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose +0.9 to 50.9, stronger than expectations of a decline to 49.9.

US Apr new home sales fell -4.7% m/m to 634,000, weaker than expectations of 678,000. Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
131,596 (-3,427)
54,454 (-8,047)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
40,059 (-9,421)
117,230 (+3,234)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
106,032 (-8,827)
9,800 (-1,783)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
42,585 (-2,731)
115,564 (+446)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
11,293 (-361)
41,456 (-3,345)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
7,631 (-48)
750

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.64656 +2.00%
on 05/01/24
0.67141 -1.78%
on 05/16/24
+0.00970 (+1.49%)
since 04/24/24
3-Month
0.63624 +3.65%
on 04/19/24
0.67141 -1.78%
on 05/16/24
+0.00304 (+0.46%)
since 02/23/24
52-Week
0.62705 +5.17%
on 10/26/23
0.68996 -4.42%
on 06/16/23
+0.00516 (+0.79%)
since 05/24/23

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^USDJPY : 157.075 (+0.09%)
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^GBPCAD : 1.74306 (-0.02%)
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^EURUSD : 1.08066 (-0.08%)
Elliott Wave Expects $AUDUSD to Break Higher

Short Term Elliott Wave in (AUDUSD) suggests the pullback to 0.636 ended wave (2). The pair has turned higher in wave (3) with internal subdivision in 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave (2), wave...

^AUDUSD : 0.65936 (-0.20%)

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.66955
2nd Resistance Point 0.66742
1st Resistance Point 0.66404
Last Price 0.65949
1st Support Level 0.65853
2nd Support Level 0.65640
3rd Support Level 0.65302

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52-Week High 0.68996
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.66593
Last Price 0.65949
Fibonacci 50% 0.65850
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.65108
52-Week Low 0.62705

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