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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slightly Higher as British Pound Surges to a 2-1/2 Year High

The dollar index (DXY00) Thursday rose by +0.04%.  The dollar garnered modest support Thursday after weekly US jobless claims fell more than expected to a 4-month low, a hawkish factor for Fed policy. Also, higher T-note yields Thursday strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials.  The dollar fell back from its best levels Thursday after the British pound (^GBPUSD) surged to a 2-1/2 year high when the BOE kept interest rates unchanged.  Also, some negative carryover from Wednesday weighed on the dollar after the Fed cut interest rates by 50 bp and projected another 50 bp in rate cuts this year.

US weekly initial unemployment claims fell -12,000 to a 4-month low of 219,000, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of 230,000.

The US Aug Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey rose +8.7 to 1.7, stronger than expectations of 0.0.

US Aug existing home sales fell -2.5% m/m to a 10-month low of 3.86 million, weaker than expectations of 3.90 million. Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 10, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
114,426 (+27,172)
111,806 (+17,740)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
74,259 (-12,859)
88,301 (-6,681)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
57,119 (+507)
54,705 (-4,401)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
77,168 (-3,689)
89,205 (+683)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
16,291 (-3,044)
24,893 (-11,701)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,803 (-5,939)
N/A

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.66224 +2.83%
on 09/11/24
0.68392 -0.43%
on 09/19/24
+0.00633 (+0.94%)
since 08/20/24
3-Month
0.63495 +7.25%
on 08/05/24
0.68392 -0.43%
on 09/19/24
+0.01542 (+2.32%)
since 06/20/24
52-Week
0.62705 +8.60%
on 10/26/23
0.68711 -0.89%
on 12/28/23
+0.03624 (+5.62%)
since 09/20/23

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EURCAD Two-Year Bullish Sequence extends from the Blue Box

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^EURCAD : 1.51353 (+0.01%)
DXY Coming Back To 101.60-102 Resistance

It’s going to be an important week, with the focus on the U.S. CPI inflation data, which could provide more clues on whether the Fed will go for 25 or even 50 basis point cut.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.69577
2nd Resistance Point 0.68984
1st Resistance Point 0.68564
Last Price 0.68103
1st Support Level 0.67551
2nd Support Level 0.66958
3rd Support Level 0.66538

See More

52-Week High 0.68711
Last Price 0.68103
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.66417
Fibonacci 50% 0.65708
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.64999
52-Week Low 0.62705

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