Canola Nov '18 (RSX18)
|Tick Size||CAD $0.10 per tonne (CAD $2.00 per contract)|
|Daily Limit||CAD $30.00 per tonne (CAD $600 per contract)|
|Contract Size||1 contract 20 tonnes (5 contracts 1 board lot)|
|Trading Months||Jan, Mar, May, Jul, Nov (F, H, K, N, X)|
|Trading Hours||7:00p.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:15p.m.) CST|
|Value of One Futures Unit||$20|
|Value of One Options Unit||$20|
|Last Trading Day||The business day prior to the 15th calendar day of the contract month|
Canola is a genetic variation of rapeseed that was developed by Canadian plant breeders specifically for its nutritional qualities and its low level of saturated fat. The term Canola is a contraction of "Canadian oil." The history of canola oil begins with the rapeseed plant, a member of the mustard family. The rape plant is grown both as feed for livestock and birdfeed. For 4,000 years, the oil from the rapeseed was used in China and India for cooking and as lamp oil. During World War II, rapeseed oil was used as a marine and industrial lubricant. After the war, the market for rapeseed oil plummeted. Rapeseed growers needed other uses for their crop, and that stimulated the research that led to the development of canola. In 1974, Canadian plant breeders from the University of Manitoba produced canola by genetically altering rapeseed. Each canola plant produces yellow flowers, which then produce pods. The tiny round seeds within each pod are crushed to produce canola oil. Each canola seed contains approximately 40% oil. Canola oil is the world's third largest source of vegetable oil accounting for 13% of world vegetable oils, following soybean oil at 32%, and palm oil at 28%. The rest of the seed is processed into canola meal, which is used as high protein livestock feed.
The climate in Canada is especially suitable for canola plant growth. Today, over 13 million acres of Canadian soil are dedicated to canola production. Canola oil is Canada's leading vegetable oil. Due to strong demand from the U.S. for canola oil, approximately 70% of Canada's canola oil is exported to the U.S. Canola oil is used as a salad oil, cooking oil, and for margarine as well as in the manufacture of inks, biodegradable greases, pharmaceuticals, fuel, soap, and cosmetics.
Canola futures and options are traded at the Winnipeg Exchange. The futures contract calls for the delivery of 20 metric tons of canola and 5 contracts are together called a "1 board lot." The futures contract is priced in Canadian dollars per metric ton.
Prices - Winnipeg canola prices on the nearest-futures chart (Barchart.com symbol code RS) in 2018 moved higher early but then moved lower to close down by -8.0% at CD$473.00 per metric ton. The average monthly wholesale price of canola oil in the Midwest in 2018 fell -1.6% yr/yr to 38.02 cents per pound. The average monthly wholesale price of canola meal (delivery Pacific Northwest) in the 2018/19 crop year fell -4.1% to $279.23 per short ton.
Supply - World canola production in the 2018/19 marketing year is forecasted to fall -5.1% yr/yr to 70.217 million metric tons, down from last year's record high. The world's largest canola producers are expected to be Canada with 30.0% of world production in 2018/19, European Union with 27.0%, China with 18.3%, and India with 8.5%. U.S. production of canola in 2018/19 is expected to rise +15.6% yr/yr to 1.646 million metric tons. Regarding canola products, world production of canola oil in 2018/19 is expected to fall by -0.5% to 27.707 million metric tons. U.S. production of canola oil in 2018/19 is expected to rise by +10.2% to 829,000 metric tons, a new record high. World production of canola meal in 2018/19 is expected to be unchanged at 39.058 million metric tons, a record high.
Demand - World crush demand for canola in 2018/19 is expected to fall -5.1% yr/yr to 67.670 million metric tons. World consumption of canola oil in 2018/19 is expected to fall by -2.9% yr/yr to 27.825 million metric tons, down from last year's record high. World consumption of canola meal in 2018/19 is expected to fall -0.6% to 39.996 million metric tons.
Trade - World canola exports in 2018/19 are expected to rise by +4.3% to 17.052 million metric tons, a new record high. World canola oil exports are expected to rise by +4.5% to 4.826 million metric tons, a new record high, and world canola meal exports to fall -2.8% yr/yr to 6.162 million metric tons. World canola imports in 2018/19 are expected to rise by +4.3% to 17.052 million metric tons, world canola oil imports are expected to rise +5.9% to 4.765 million metric tons, and world canola meal imports are expected to rise 0.1% to 6.125 million metric tons. Regarding U.S. canola trade, U.S. canola imports in 2018/19 are expected to fall -11.9% to 570.000 metric tons and U.S. exports to rise 20.1% to 193.000 metric tons.
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