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Gold Jun '18 (GCM18)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Close Higher on Stronger-Than-Expected Chinese Economic Data

Aug Comex gold (GCQ19) on Monday closed up +1.3 (+0.09%) and Sep silver (SIU19) closed up +0.129 (+0.85%). Metals prices closed higher Monday with Sep silver at a 1-week high. Silver prices moved higher after Monday's data showed Chinese industrial production and retail sales rose more than expected, which is positive for industrial metals demand. China June industrial production rose +6.3% y/y, stronger than expectations of +5.2% y/y, and China June retail sales rose +9.8% y/y, stronger than expectations of +8.5% y/y and the biggest increase in 16 months. On the negative side, however, China's Q2 GDP fell to a 27-year low of +6.2% from Q4's +6.4%, as expected. Gold prices received a boost after Germany's Economy Ministry said today in its monthly report that manufacturing in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, remains sluggish and that a weak level of orders and deteriorating business sentiment suggest manufacturing weakness will persist. That may prompt the ECB to boost stimulus measures, which is positive for gold demand as a store of wealth. Gains in gold were limited as the dollar index strengthened Monday and after the S&P 500 index posted a new record high, which curbed demand for gold as a safe-haven. Ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions, along with last week's dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell, have sparked fund buying of precious metals as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 6-year high Friday and long silver positions in ETFs rose to a 14-3/4 month high Friday.
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