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U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc (^USDCHF)
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U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Strong U.S. Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.45% and posted a 3-week high. The dollar moved higher Friday after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic reports on Nov payrolls and Dec consumer sentiment dampened speculation the Fed would begin cutting rates as soon as Q1. The dollar fell back from its best levels Friday after stocks recovered early losses and moved higher, curbing liquidity demand for the dollar. 

Friday’s U.S. economic news was hawkish for Fed policy and bullish for the dollar.  Nov nonfarm payrolls rose +199,000, stronger than expectations of +185,000.  Also, the Nov unemployment rate fell -0.2 to a 4-month low of 3.7%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 3.9%.  In addition, the University of Michigan U.S. Dec consumer sentiment index rose +8.1 to a 4-month high of 69.4, stronger than expectations of 62.0.

The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on Dec 12-13 FOMC and a 0% chanc... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 5, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
18,451 (+997)
42,164 (-1,981)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
21,584 (-3,005)
3,732 (-568)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
7,489 (-121)
26,159 (-1,165)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
20,572 (+119)
9,514 (-672)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
10,553 (-2,058)
7,331 (-764)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
0 (unch)
1,471 (unch)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.86673 +1.66%
on 12/04/23
0.90524 -2.67%
on 11/13/23
-0.02148 (-2.38%)
since 11/10/23
3-Month
0.86673 +1.66%
on 12/04/23
0.92442 -4.69%
on 10/03/23
-0.00977 (-1.10%)
since 09/11/23
52-Week
0.85527 +3.02%
on 07/27/23
0.94401 -6.66%
on 03/02/23
-0.05354 (-5.73%)
since 12/09/22

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Gold Fails to Soar Above $2,000 Once Again. What's Next?

Last week, I emphasized that silver’s outperformance was indicating a reversal. That’s exactly what we saw on Friday. Can you guess what’s next?

SLV : 21.10 (-3.17%)
GLD : 185.64 (-1.33%)
GDXJ : 36.44 (-1.91%)
UUP : 29.46 (+0.37%)

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.89132
2nd Resistance Point 0.88669
1st Resistance Point 0.88340
Last Price 0.88104
1st Support Level 0.87548
2nd Support Level 0.87085
3rd Support Level 0.86756

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52-Week High 0.94401
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.91011
Fibonacci 50% 0.89964
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.88917
Last Price 0.88104
52-Week Low 0.85527

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