Monday’s corn trade pulled futures 1 1/2 to 2 3/4 cents lower. December had reached $6.77 1/4 on the low of the day, but went home 4 1/4 cents above it.
NASS reported 97% of the corn crop was mature as of 10/23. That matches the average. Harvest advanced by 16% to 61% finished. The average pace would be 52% done as of 10/23. In IA harvest remains ahead of average with 59% out compared to 42%. IL combines were catching up to their average pace with 65% of the corn out compared to 69% on average. The milo harvest reached 67% complete, with TX 100% harvested. The average pace would be 59% finished nationally and 11% left in TX.
USDA data had 470,623 MT of corn shipments for the week that ended 10/20. That was up from 460k MT last week but under the 643,864 MT shipped during the same week last year. The report showed 73.5% of the week’s corn exports left via the Mississippi River. Accumulated inspections reached 3.768 MMT (148.3 mbu) as of 10/20, down 22% from last year.
Chinese Customs data showed 1.53 MMT of corn was brought in during September, that was a 56% reduction from Sep ’21. Their YTD corn imports reached 18.46 MMT through September, trailing 2021 by 26%. The data also had 920k MT of sorghum, a 42% increase yr/yr, for a YTD total of 8.93 MMT.
Safras and Mercado estimated the Brazilian 1st crop corn output as 25.2 MMT. That is mainly due to yield improvements, as the 15% larger yr/yr crop comes on 4.3% lighter area. Safras has the initial 2nd crop forecasted at 87.8 MMT, up from 84.4 MMT last year, and the full output as 126.3 MMT.
Dec 22 Corn closed at $6.81 1/2, down 2 3/4 cents,
Nearby Cash was $6.71 3/8, down 2 cents,
Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.87 3/4, down 2 3/4 cents,
May 23 Corn closed at $6.87 1/4, down 2 1/2 cents,
On the date of publication, Alan Brugler did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes.