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Soybean Oil Jul '18 (ZLN18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary

Thu Oct 18, 5:10PM CDT
Soybean futures posted 21 to 22 1/4 cent losses in the nearby contracts on Thursday. Front month soy meal was down $7.40/ton, with soy oil 54 points lower. Export sales of 18/19 soybeans were just 293,566 MT for the week that ended on October 11. That was well below this time last year, as they saw a 33.2% drop wk/wk. Most of the sales were switched from unknown, which saw a net reduction of 694,400 MT. Shipments of soybeans picked up 30.9% from last week at 1.157 MMT but were still down 37.4% from a year ago. Spain was the top destination of 188,000 MT, with 134,700 MT headed to China. Soy meal sales were tallied at 104,342 MT, with soy oil 26,583 MT in the first full week of the new MY. Argentina’s ag ministry expects the country’s planted soybean acreage to total 43.25 million acres, up ~750,000 from last year.Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.63 1/2, down 22 1/4 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.77 3/4, down 22 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $8.90 1/2, down 21 3/4 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.13 3/4, down 21 1/2 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $316.30, down $7.40,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $29.02, down $0.54--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management, Call (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$550/500
First Notice Date
06/29/18
Expiration Date
07/13/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybean Oil Jul '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
254,435 (-6,637)
258,182 (+2,565)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
110,424 (-4,668)
115,468 (-11,873)
Producers - Long / Short
124,367 (-5,068)
233,161 (+4,468)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
112,215 (+1,933)
7,168 (+1,599)
Managed Money - Long / Short
59,756 (-2,442)
100,134 (-12,473)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
50,668 (-2,226)
15,334 (+600)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
27.79 +0.04%
on 06/19/18
30.20 -7.95%
on 06/14/18
-2.28 (-7.58%)
since 06/13/18
3-Month
27.79 +0.04%
on 06/19/18
32.05 -13.26%
on 05/24/18
-3.95 (-12.44%)
since 04/13/18
52-Week
27.79 +0.04%
on 06/19/18
36.69 -24.23%
on 09/07/17
-6.17 (-18.16%)
since 07/13/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is in the Top 1%. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 28.47
1st Resistance Point 28.13
Last Price 27.80s
1st Support Level 27.63
2nd Support Level 27.47

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52-Week High 36.69
Fibonacci 61.8% 33.29
Fibonacci 50% 32.24
Fibonacci 38.2% 31.19
Last Price 27.80s
52-Week Low 27.79

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