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Silver Cash (SIY00)

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Silver Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Gain on a Slump in Stocks and Brexit Concerns

Jun Comex gold (GCM19) on Thursday closed up +11.2 (+0.88%) and July silver closed up +0.164 (+1.14%). Precious metals moved higher Thursday after a sell-off in global equity markets sparked safe-haven demand for precious metals. A worsening of the U.S./China trade conflict pummeled stocks Thursday on signs that China has no intention of making trade concessions after China's Ministry of Commerce said, "if the U.S. wants to resume talks, they should show sincerity and correct their wrong practices." Increased risks of a hard Brexit also boosted safe-haven demand for precious metals after GBP/USD sank to a 4-1/2 month low Thursday on increased pressure on UK Prime Minister May to abandon her Brexit deal and resign. Precious metals prices extended their gains Thursday after the dollar index fell back from a 2-year high and moved lower. A negative for silver and industrial metals prices was weakness in global manufacturing activity after the Eurozone May Markit manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell -0.2 to 47.7, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 48.1, and after the U.S. May Markit manufacturing PMI fell -2.0 to 50.6, weaker than expectations of no change at 52.6 and the slowest pace of expansion in nearly 3 years. Gold prices were undercut Thursday by reduced inflation expectations that curb demand for gold as an inflation hedge after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate fell to a 4-1/2 month low today of 1.739%. The ongoing US/Chinese trade and tech conflict has boosted fund buying of gold as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 2-week high Tuesday. However, concern the trade conflict will reduce global growth and demand for industrial metals has sparked fund liquidation of silver as long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 5-week low Wednesday.
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
14.3500 +1.70%
on 05/22/19
15.0730 -3.18%
on 04/26/19
-0.3310 (-2.22%)
since 04/24/19
3-Month
14.3500 +1.70%
on 05/22/19
15.9930 -8.75%
on 02/25/19
-1.3140 (-8.26%)
since 02/22/19
52-Week
13.8820 +5.13%
on 11/14/18
17.2820 -15.55%
on 06/14/18
-2.0550 (-12.34%)
since 05/24/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 14.7893
1st Resistance Point 14.6897
Last Price 14.5980
1st Support Level 14.4477
2nd Support Level 14.3053

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52-Week High 17.2820
Fibonacci 61.8% 15.9832
Fibonacci 50% 15.5820
Fibonacci 38.2% 15.1808
Last Price 14.5980
52-Week Low 13.8820

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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