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Spring Wheat Dec '18 (MWZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$1,950/1,500
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
MGEX
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (102 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (116 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 14, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
35,585 (-642)
35,892 (+1,502)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
16,785 (-211)
14,329 (-2,226)
Producers - Long / Short
32,483 (+289)
35,768 (+2,793)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
2,978 (+322)
0 (-38)
Managed Money - Long / Short
9,460 (unch)
5,793 (-3,364)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
7,325 (-211)
8,536 (+1,138)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
571-0 +7.49%
on 07/23/18
656-0 -6.44%
on 08/07/18
+42-4 (+7.44%)
since 07/20/18
3-Month
542-2 +13.19%
on 07/12/18
660-4 -7.08%
on 05/29/18
-28-0 (-4.36%)
since 05/18/18
52-Week
542-2 +13.19%
on 07/12/18
660-4 -7.08%
on 05/29/18
-24-0 (-3.76%)
since 08/18/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Mon Aug 20, 7:30AM CDT
Wheat futures are 5 to 8 cents lower this morning. They posted 15 to 18 1/4 cent gains in the nearby winter wheat contracts on Friday, with MPLS 10 to 12 1/4 cents higher. A weaker US dollar index provided support. Late on Friday, Mexico’s Economic minister stated that he expects a US/Mexico bilateral deal may be completed this week, about the time of the US/China meeting. Again, this statement is positioning, not a deal! Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed money managers in Chicago wheat futures and options at a net long position of 66,948 contracts. That was an increase of 2,361 contracts from the week prior and the largest reported net long position since September 2012. They also held a net long position of 62,652 contracts in KC wheat futures and options as of last Tuesday. The Russian Ag ministry released a statement that they are not considering limiting exports as had been rumored.

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 645-1
1st Resistance Point 635-1
Last Price 613-6
1st Support Level 611-7
2nd Support Level 598-5

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52-Week High 660-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 615-3
Last Price 613-6
Fibonacci 50% 601-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 587-3
52-Week Low 542-2

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