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U.S. Dollar/Australian Dollar (^USDAUD)
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U.S. Dollar/Australian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Strong U.S. Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.45% and posted a 3-week high. The dollar moved higher Friday after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic reports on Nov payrolls and Dec consumer sentiment dampened speculation the Fed would begin cutting rates as soon as Q1. The dollar fell back from its best levels Friday after stocks recovered early losses and moved higher, curbing liquidity demand for the dollar. 

Friday’s U.S. economic news was hawkish for Fed policy and bullish for the dollar.  Nov nonfarm payrolls rose +199,000, stronger than expectations of +185,000.  Also, the Nov unemployment rate fell -0.2 to a 4-month low of 3.7%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 3.9%.  In addition, the University of Michigan U.S. Dec consumer sentiment index rose +8.1 to a 4-month high of 69.4, stronger than expectations of 62.0.

The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on Dec 12-13 FOMC and a 0% chanc... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 5, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
69,489 (+12,065)
124,388 (-6,825)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
90,567 (-9,855)
32,886 (+3,683)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
23,473 (+10,902)
99,931 (-4,331)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
102,511 (-6,146)
31,206 (+3,233)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
31,657 (-2,652)
22,317 (-1,213)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
0 (unch)
1,405 (-937)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.4946 +1.73%
on 12/04/23
1.5776 -3.63%
on 11/10/23
-0.0414 (-2.65%)
since 11/08/23
3-Month
1.4946 +1.73%
on 12/04/23
1.5949 -4.67%
on 10/26/23
-0.0477 (-3.04%)
since 09/08/23
52-Week
1.3970 +8.83%
on 02/02/23
1.5949 -4.67%
on 10/26/23
+0.0434 (+2.94%)
since 12/08/22

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.5408
2nd Resistance Point 1.5328
1st Resistance Point 1.5266
Last Price 1.5204
1st Support Level 1.5124
2nd Support Level 1.5044
3rd Support Level 1.4982

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52-Week High 1.5949
Last Price 1.5204
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.5193
Fibonacci 50% 1.4959
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.4726
52-Week Low 1.3970

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