
Over the past six months, BILL has been a great trade, beating the S&P 500 by 12.6%. Its stock price has climbed to $44.83, representing a healthy 21% increase. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is now the time to buy BILL, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.
Why Is BILL Not Exciting?
We’re glad investors have benefited from the price increase, but we don’t have much confidence in BILL. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than BILL, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Weak Billings Point to Soft Demand
Billings is a non-GAAP metric that is often called “cash revenue” because it shows how much money the company has collected from customers in a certain period. This is different from revenue, which must be recognized in pieces over the length of a contract.
BILL’s billings came in at $406.9 million in Q1, and over the last four quarters, its year-on-year growth averaged 12.4%. This performance was underwhelming and suggests that increasing competition is causing challenges in acquiring/retaining customers. 
2. Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect BILL’s revenue to rise by 12.2%, close to its 51.3% annualized growth for the past five years. This projection is underwhelming and implies its newer products and services will not catalyze better top-line performance yet.
3. Operating Margin Rising, Profits Up
Many software businesses adjust their profits for stock-based compensation (SBC), but we prioritize GAAP operating margin because SBC is a real expense used to attract and retain engineering and sales talent. This is one of the best measures of profitability because it shows how much money a company takes home after developing, marketing, and selling its products.
Over the last two years, BILL’s expanding sales gave it operating leverage as its margin rose by 1.8 percentage points. Its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was negative 3.8%, and it must keep making strides to one day reach sustainable profitability.
Final Judgment
BILL isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. With its shares topping the market in recent months, the stock trades at 2.8× forward price-to-sales (or $44.83 per share). This valuation multiple is fair, but we don’t have much faith in the company. We’re pretty confident there are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. Let us point you toward a safe-and-steady industrials business benefiting from an upgrade cycle.
Stocks We Like More Than BILL
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