Kalshi has reported 29,560 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.26 and 4.28 on Nov 14, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "4.26% to 4.28%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.26-4.28 % on Nov 14, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 29,560 transactions since it was first opened on November 07, 2025. There are 0 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 0 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
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- Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? (24h volume: 47210)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 44921)
- Will the House vote on an omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR)? (24h volume: 40517)
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