Gold Analysis & Targets

Gold Analysis & Targets

(GCQ25) 

GCQ25

The market held 38.2% at 3195.00 on 5/15/25 keeping the trend very strong, but has been unable to make a new high since then. It did fail to make a new high at a 78.6% retracement on 6/16/25 and that did send the market over $200 lower and is caught between 78.6% retracements. Overall even with the sideways trade since the ATH the trend remains very strong. The key area to get through above is 78.6% of the 6/16/25 high and 6/30/25 low at 3426.00 and the 3446.20 major Gann square, failing to get above this can send the market quickly lower, when and if it can clear this area it can cause another sharp rally like the one between 4/7/25 and 4/22/25.

All the levels remain the same for this week.

From last week,

The setback from 78.6% at 3453.30 has now gone $200 and hit the 3292.50 major Gann square and this will be the key level for next week. The first target on a failure to make a new high in the area of a 78.6% retracement can send it back 78.6% the other way per the ONE44 rule, the longer term effect is the end of the Bull run for now.  

Use 3292.50 as the swing point for the week.

Above it, the short term target is the 3446.20 major Gann square. Above it there are only major Gann squares above to look for resistance and then use as the swing point when closed above, the next two are 3619.60 and 3774.40.

Below it, the short term target is the completion of the 78.6% (3453.30) to 78.6% the other way at 3220.00. The longer term target is 23.6% back on the continuation chart at 3107.00. The long term swing point from the same move is 38.2% at 2840.00.

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