
Since January 2026, Republic Services has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 3.5% while floating around $219.58.
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Why Is Republic Services Not Exciting?
We’re sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than RSG, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Lackluster Revenue Growth
Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Republic Services’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 4.7% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. We’re wary when companies in the sector see decelerations in revenue growth, as it could signal changing consumer tastes aided by low switching costs. 
2. Sales Volumes Stall, Demand Waning
Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful Waste Management company because there’s a ceiling to what customers will pay.
Over the last two years, Republic Services failed to grow its units sold. This performance was underwhelming and implies there may be increasing competition or market saturation. It also suggests Republic Services might have to lower prices or invest in product improvements to accelerate growth, factors that can hinder near-term profitability. 
3. Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Republic Services’s revenue to rise by 4.3%, close to its 10.4% annualized growth for the past five years. This projection is underwhelming and indicates its newer products and services will not accelerate its top-line performance yet.
Final Judgment
Republic Services isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. That said, the stock currently trades at 29.8× forward P/E (or $219.58 per share). This valuation multiple is fair, but we don’t have much faith in the company. We’re fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. Let us point you toward a dominant aerospace business that has perfected its M&A strategy.
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