Dual Edge Research publishes two powerful newsletters that work great individually — and even better together. The Bull Strangle Newsletter focuses on stocks and options, combining stock ownership with premium-selling strategies to generate consistent income and market-beating returns. The Smart Spreads Newsletter specializes in seasonal commodity futures spreads, offering a diversified approach with low correlation to equities. Together, they deliver a complete investment perspective — one focused on income, the other on diversification — all under one simple subscription.
Introduction
Over the past several months, I’ve been tracking two model portfolios built from the same Bull Strangle framework. One is structured as a $30,000 account. The other represents a $200,000 account. Both portfolios are built from the same weekly watch list and follow the same rules for trade construction, timing, and management. The only meaningful difference between them is which trades can be selected, which is driven largely by stock price and position-sizing constraints.
As the data has developed, one result has stood out clearly. The smaller portfolio has consistently outperformed the larger one, and that gap widened following the recent market drawdown. At first glance, that outcome seems counterintuitive. A larger portfolio should offer greater flexibility, diversification, and opportunities. But the results suggest something more important is happening beneath the surface.
Analysis
To better understand the difference, I stepped back from the portfolios themselves and analyzed the full watch list. Every published stock and ETF was grouped into two categories: those priced at $50 or below and those priced above $50. This is where the picture became clearer. The lower-priced group produced higher average returns and higher win rates. The higher-priced group lagged on both measures. The same pattern showed up inside the larger portfolio. Trades placed in stocks priced at or below $50 performed better and were more consistent than those placed in higher-priced names.
This leads to an important shift in how the results should be interpreted. The difference between the portfolios is not driven by capital, and it is not a question of how much is invested. Both portfolios are selected from the same opportunity set. The difference is which part of that opportunity set is being used. The smaller portfolio is, by necessity, constrained. It cannot take every trade. But that constraint appears to be beneficial. It naturally concentrates the portfolio in a subset of candidates that, at least in this sample, has produced better outcomes.
This is an encouraging result, particularly for traders working with smaller accounts. One of the most common concerns is whether a strategy can be effective without significant capital. The data here suggest that the Bull Strangle approach not only works in smaller portfolios but may also benefit from the selectivity those portfolios impose. The edge is independent of size. If anything, it appears to be preserved—and in some cases enhanced—when capital is limited.
At the same time, it’s important to frame this properly. This does not mean that all stocks above $50 are inferior, nor does it suggest that larger portfolios cannot perform well. What it does suggest is that expanding the opportunity set introduces variability, and not all additional trades contribute equally. Maintaining consistency as a portfolio grows requires more than simply adding positions. It requires preserving the quality of selection.
Next Steps
Recently, I have begun refining the watch list criteria to place greater emphasis on stability and consistency in price behavior. Early indications suggest this may further improve results, but more data is needed before drawing firm conclusions.
While these results are encouraging, they also raise important questions that warrant deeper analysis. The observed performance difference may not be driven by price alone but by underlying characteristics of those stocks—such as volatility, stability, and liquidity. In the coming weeks, I will further break down the watch list and trade results to determine whether the advantage stems from lower-priced stocks themselves or from structural factors such as implied volatility and consistency in price behavior. I will also isolate the trades unique to the larger portfolio to understand better how expanding the opportunity set impacts outcomes. This next phase of analysis should help clarify whether the recent improvements in watch list selection—particularly the increased focus on stability—are contributing meaningfully to performance. I’ll share those findings in next week’s update.
Conclusion
The takeaway for now is straightforward. The performance difference between the portfolios is not about capital—it is about selection. And importantly, the results reinforce a positive conclusion:
The Bull Strangle Strategy scales very well to smaller portfolios.
If you’re interested in seeing how these trades are selected each week, including the full watch list, scoring process, and portfolio construction, the Bull Strangle Newsletter walks through the strategy step by step.
For traders interested in applying the 4-week ladder concept within a fully defined, stock-anchored income framework, this structure forms the backbone of the Bull Strangle Strategy, where long stock is paired with disciplined option selling across staggered cycles. That framework is explored in detail in the Bull Strangle Newsletter and related educational materials.
More Information
Now you can get two powerful newsletters — for one simple price!
- For stocks and options, the Bull Strangle Newsletter shows you how to combine stock ownership with dual option selling — a disciplined strategy that has consistently outperformed the S&P 500.
- For commodity futures, the Smart Spreads Newsletter focuses on seasonal commodity spreads — a proven, low-correlation approach that thrives in all types of markets.
Each newsletter is designed to deliver consistent income on its own — but when used together, they create a complete, diversified trading approach that works in any market environment.
Visit BullStrangle.com to subscribe for just $1 for the first month.
For a video overview of the Bull Strangle Newsletter
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Darren Carlat
Dual Edge Research
(214) 636-3133
DualEdgeResearch@gamil.com
Disclaimer
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investments carry inherent risk. Consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.