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White Sugar #5 Oct '19 (SWV19)

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White Sugar #5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Prices Fall to 1-Week Lows on Weakness in the Brazilian Real

Oct NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) on Monday closed down by -0.17 (-1.46%), and Oct ICE London white sugar #5 (SWV19) closed down by -3.70 (-1.18%). Sugar prices fell to 1-week lows Monday after the Brazilian real dropped -1.43% to a new 2-3/4 month low against the dollar. A weaker real encourages export selling by Brazil's sugar producers. Another negative for sugar prices was an increase in monsoon rain in India after India's Meteorological Department Aug 8 said India's July monsoon rains were 298.4 mm, 4.6% more than the long-term average. A positive factor for sugar was last Wednesday's report from Citigroup predicting a supply tightening to a 2019/20 global sugar deficit of -7.2 MMT from a 2018/19 surplus of +2.5 MMT. Sugar has support from Unica data on Aug 5 that showed sugar production in Brazil's Center-South region in the second half of July fell by -5.5% y/y to 2.478 MMT, with cumulative production in the 2019-20 marketing year through July falling -9.9% y/y to 13.334 MMT. Another positive for sugar was the action by India's cabinet on July 24 to create a buffer stock of 4 million MT of sugar for 1-year starting Aug 1 in an attempt to lock up supply and support domestic sugar prices.
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