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Spring Wheat Dec '19 (MWZ19)

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Spring Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Losses for Friday Wheat

Wheat futures were 1/2 to 1 1/2 cents lower for the March contracts on Friday. Chicago wheat ended the session 1 1/2 cents lower, KC was lower by a half cent/bu. Spring wheat futures ended 1 1/4 cents lower. The markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents Day. The CoT report with data from 02/11 showed that managed money was less net long for Chicago futures. SRW spec trader OI was mostly net new selling wk/wk. The same report indicated managed money was more net long wk/wk for KC wheat. The long was over 10,000 contracts and the net long is at 7 consecutive weeks. In spring wheat, speculative traders were 6,854 contracts net short, which was a 2,225 increase in the net position wk/wk. Wheat planting acreage from USDA’s long-term projection was 45 MA, which would be 0.2 lower yr/yr. that lower planting puts forecasted ending stocks at 950 mbu, equating the average farm price for 20/21 to be 4.80/bu. The report did insinuate a rising cash average price forecast. Acco... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:30p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
12/13/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Spring Wheat Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 11, 2020

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Commercials - Long / Short
39,749 (+3,133)
40,107 (+1,990)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
11,306 (+488)
12,243 (+2,292)
Producers - Long / Short
37,563 (+2,903)
40,107 (+1,990)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
2,186 (+230)
0 (unch)
Managed Money - Long / Short
4,043 (+220)
10,954 (+2,436)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
7,263 (+268)
1,289 (-144)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
488-0 +3.69%
on 11/27/19
517-0 -2.13%
on 11/14/19
-9-2 (-1.80%)
since 11/13/19
488-0 +3.69%
on 11/27/19
559-0 -9.48%
on 09/26/19
+0-4 (+0.10%)
since 09/13/19
486-4 +4.01%
on 09/03/19
616-4 -17.92%
on 12/17/18
-107-6 (-17.56%)
since 12/13/18

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 506-0
1st Resistance Point 506-0
Last Price 506-0s
1st Support Level 506-0
2nd Support Level 506-0

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52-Week High 616-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 566-7
Fibonacci 50% 551-4
Fibonacci 38.2% 536-1
Last Price 506-0s
52-Week Low 486-4

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