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Coffee Dec '19 (KCZ19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Settle Lower as Fund Short-Covering Dries Up

Mar arabica coffee (KCH20) on Friday closed down -2.45 (-2.18%), and Mar ICE Robusta coffee (DFH0) closed down -48 (-3.51%).

March arabica coffee prices on Friday traded sharply lower but remained above Tuesday's 2-month low. Robusta coffee fell back from at a 3-week high as fund short-covering dried up.

Arabica coffee was under pressure Friday on weakness in the Brazilian real which fell -0.41% against the dollar Friday but remained modestly above Tuesday's 1-1/2 month low against the dollar. A weaker real encourages export selling by Brazil's coffee producers and is bearish for sugar prices.

Coffee prices have trended lower over the past 5 weeks with arabica coffee falling to a 2-month low Tuesday on the outlook for a rebound in Brazil coffee output. Conab, Brazil government's forecasting agency, said on Jan 16 that it sees Brazil 2020/21 coffee production rising to 57.2-62.0 mln bags, up as much as +25.8% from 49.3 mln bags in 2019/20 as the crop moves into t... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$4,455/4,050
First Notice Date
11/20/19
Expiration Date
12/18/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 21, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
135,846 (-419)
183,120 (-1,988)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
62,472 (-2,219)
20,978 (-725)
Producers - Long / Short
80,117 (+945)
158,338 (-3,901)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
42,202 (-3,118)
11,255 (+159)
Managed Money - Long / Short
48,769 (-2,183)
17,454 (+1,166)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
13,703 (-36)
3,524 (-1,891)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
105.45 +24.89%
on 11/20/19
138.40 -4.84%
on 12/13/19
+29.00 (+28.24%)
since 11/19/19
3-Month
92.20 +42.84%
on 10/11/19
138.40 -4.84%
on 12/13/19
+33.35 (+33.91%)
since 09/19/19
52-Week
92.20 +42.84%
on 10/11/19
138.40 -4.84%
on 12/13/19
+18.40 (+16.24%)
since 12/19/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 131.70
1st Resistance Point 131.70
Last Price 131.70s
1st Support Level 131.70
2nd Support Level 131.70

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52-Week High 138.40
Last Price 131.70s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.75
Fibonacci 50% 115.30
Fibonacci 38.2% 109.85
52-Week Low 92.20

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