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Coffee Dec '19 (KCZ19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Close Lower as Beneficial Rain in Brazil Eases Coffee Crop Concerns

Dec arabica coffee (KCZ19) on Monday closed down -3.45 (-3.15%), and Jan ICE robusta coffee (DFF0) closed down -9 (-0.65%).

Coffee prices moved lower Monday after heavy rain over the weekend in Brazil eased coffee crop concerns. Somar Meteorologia reported Monday that rainfall in Minas Gerais, Brazil's largest arabica coffee growing region, measured 55.2 mm over the past week, or 130% of the historical average.

Concern about tighter supplies has spurred fund buying of coffee over the past 3 weeks as Jan robusta coffee posted a 3-1/4 month high Monday and Dec arabica coffee posted a3-1/2 month high Friday. The International Coffee Organization (ICO) last Tuesday projected a global 2019/20 coffee deficit of -502,00 bags, versus a surplus of +3.7 mln bags in 2018/19. ICO projects that global 2019/20 coffee production will fall -0.9% to 167.4 mln bags and that 2019/20 global coffee consumption will climb +1.5% to 167.9 mln bags.

Current coffee supplies have declined... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$3,300/3,000
First Notice Date
11/20/19 (8 days)
Expiration Date
12/18/19 (36 days)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 5, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
168,312 (+3,049)
151,527 (+14,434)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
55,870 (-1,793)
79,081 (-16,350)
Producers - Long / Short
108,994 (+2,345)
136,309 (+14,538)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,895 (+731)
3,795 (-77)
Managed Money - Long / Short
33,036 (+2,216)
74,721 (-16,451)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,834 (-4,009)
4,360 (+101)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
92.25 +15.50%
on 10/16/19
109.90 -3.05%
on 11/08/19
+12.85 (+13.71%)
since 10/11/19
3-Month
92.20 +15.56%
on 10/11/19
109.90 -3.05%
on 11/08/19
+9.25 (+9.51%)
since 08/12/19
52-Week
92.20 +15.56%
on 10/11/19
128.50 -17.08%
on 11/15/18
-19.20 (-15.27%)
since 11/12/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 110.20
1st Resistance Point 108.10
Last Price 105.85
1st Support Level 104.70
2nd Support Level 103.40

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52-Week High 128.50
Fibonacci 61.8% 114.63
Fibonacci 50% 110.35
Fibonacci 38.2% 106.07
Last Price 105.85
52-Week Low 92.20

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InsideFutures Commentary

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