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Coffee Dec '19 (KCZ19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Settle Mixed as Arabica Falls on Ample Supplies

Sep arabica coffee (KCU20) on Thursday closed down -1.25 (-1.25%). Sep ICE Robusta coffee (DFU0) closed up +5 (+0.42%).

Coffee prices on Thursday settled mixed. Arabica coffee posted modest losses Thursday on signs of ample supplies after consulting firm Safras & Mercado on Thursday reported that Brazil's coffee farmers sold 40% or 27.44 mln bags of their 2020 coffee crop as of July 7, well above the 5-year average of 30%. Arabica prices remained lower after Citigroup on Thursday cut its second half of 2020 arabica-coffee price forecast to 90 cents a pound from a previous forecast of $1.20 a pound.

Coffee prices still have pressure on concern that a resurgence of the coronavirus pandemic may keep lockdowns in place for longer, undercutting coffee demand from restaurants and cafes.

A positive for coffee prices is tightness in coffee supplies. ICE-monitored arabica coffee inventories on Wednesday fell to a 2-3/4 year low of 1.636 mln bags, and ICE-monitored robust... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$4,455/4,050
First Notice Date
11/20/19
Expiration Date
12/18/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 30, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
145,243 (-352)
146,493 (+2,333)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
59,152 (+829)
63,463 (-2,362)
Producers - Long / Short
96,593 (+788)
128,046 (+2,069)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
40,849 (+855)
10,646 (+2,259)
Managed Money - Long / Short
34,693 (+5)
60,334 (-2,446)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,459 (+824)
3,129 (+84)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
105.45 +24.89%
on 11/20/19
138.40 -4.84%
on 12/13/19
+29.00 (+28.24%)
since 11/19/19
3-Month
92.20 +42.84%
on 10/11/19
138.40 -4.84%
on 12/13/19
+33.35 (+33.91%)
since 09/19/19
52-Week
92.20 +42.84%
on 10/11/19
138.40 -4.84%
on 12/13/19
+18.40 (+16.24%)
since 12/19/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 131.70
1st Resistance Point 131.70
Last Price 131.70s
1st Support Level 131.70
2nd Support Level 131.70

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52-Week High 138.40
Last Price 131.70s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.75
Fibonacci 50% 115.30
Fibonacci 38.2% 109.85
52-Week Low 92.20

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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