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Gold Aug '24 (GCQ24)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Sees Support From Reduced Chance of 50 bp Fed Rate Cut Next Week

The dollar index (DXY00) Wednesday rose by +0.05%.  The dollar Wednesday recovered from early losses and climbed to a 1-week high after the as-expected US Aug core CPI report diminished the chances of a 50 bp rate cut by the Fed at next week’s FOMC meeting, a supportive factor for the dollar.  Also, a rebound in T-note yields Wednesday supported modest gains in the dollar. 

The dollar Wednesday initially moved lower after the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 15-month low and after hawkish comments from BOJ member Nakagawa pushed the yen up to an 8-month high against the dollar.

US Aug CPI eased to +2.5% y/y from +2.9% y/y in July, right on expectations and the smallest increase in 3-1/2 years.  Aug CPI ex-food and energy was unchanged from July at +3.2% y/y, right on expectations.

The markets are discounting the chances at 100% for a -25 bp rate cut at the Sep 17-18 FOMC meeting and at 14% for a -50 bp rate cut at that meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Wednesday fell... Read more

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