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Gold Apr '23 (GCJ23)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Moves Higher and Gold Falls on Signs of US Economic Strength

The dollar index (DXY00) today rebounded from a 3-week low and finished up by +0.15% on signs of US economic strength.  An unexpected increase in Tuesday’s US Aug retail sales report sparked short covering in the dollar.  Also, Tuesday’s stronger-than-expected US Aug manufacturing production report was bullish for the dollar. 

The dollar on Tuesday initially moved lower after the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 15-month low on heightened speculation the Fed will cut the fed funds target range by 50 bp at the Tue/Wed FOMC meeting.  Swap markets show that the odds of a 50 bp rate cut rose to 69% Tuesday from 52% last Friday. 

US Aug retail sales unexpectedly rose +0.1% m/m, stronger than expectations of a -0.2% m/m decline. However, Aug retail sales ex-autos rose +0.1% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m.

US Aug manufacturing production rose +0.9% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.2% m/m and the largest increase in 6 months.

The US Sep NAHB housing ma... Read more

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