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U.S. Dollar Index Jun '19 (DXM19)

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U.S. Dollar Index Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Climbs to a 2-Week High as EUR/USD Retreats on ECB Rate-Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00) this morning is up by +0.102 (+0.10%) at a 2-week high. September euro-fx futures (E6U9) are down -0.0021 (-0.19%) at a 2-week low, and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0019 (-0.17%) at a 2-week low. September yen futures (J6U9) are up +0.27 (+0.29%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.31 (-0.29%). The dollar index climbed to a 2-week high today on dovish comments from ECB President Draghi that pushed the 10-year German bund yield down to a new record low of -0.325%, which weakened the euro's interest rate differentials and sent EUR/USD down to a 2-week low. Draghi said that "additional stimulus will be required" if the economic outlook doesn't improve and that "lingering" risks are strengthening the case for action. EUR/USD fell further after today's economic data showed the German Jun ZEW survey expectations of economic growth plunged -19.0 to a 7-month low of -21.1, weaker than expectations of -3.5 to -5.6. The dollar also found support on strength in U.S. economic data after May building permits rose +0.3% to 1.294 million, slightly stronger than expectations of +0.1% to 1.292 million. Finally, GBP/USD slid to a fresh 5-1/2 month low on continued concern about a no-deal Brexit if Boris Johnson is appointed as the new UK Prime Minister in July, as expected. Conservative Party MPs will be voting today through Thursday to whittle down the candidate list from six to two, who will then be voted on by grassroots Conservative Party members. A new Prime Minister is expected to take power in the week of July 22.
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