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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar (^USDCAD)

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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Drops to a Fresh 3-Month Low on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday fell -0.228 (-0.24%) to a 3-month low. September euro-fx futures (E6U9) closed up +0.0031 (+0.28%) at a 3-month high, and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) rose +0.0028 (+0.25%) to a 3-month high. September yen futures (J6U9) closed up +0.07 (+0.08%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) rose +0.03 (+0.03%). The dollar index fell Monday for a fourth consecutive session and posted a fresh 3-month low. The dollar continues to weaken on speculation the Fed will move to cut interest rates as soon as July, faster than other global central banks will move. A decline in T-note yields on Monday also weighed on the dollar since lower yields weaken the dollar's interest rate differentials. Another bearish factor was Monday's U.S. data that showed the Jun Dallas Fed manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell -6.8 to a 3-year low of -12.1, weaker than expectations of +3.3 to -2.0. A negative for EUR/USD was Monday's data that showed the German Jun IFO business climate index fell -0.5 to a 4-1/2 year low of 97.4.

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 18, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
-70,537 (+25,916)
-67,737 (+2,045)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
-19,796 (+5,801)
-57,867 (+570)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
-5,887 (+22,210)
-23,113 (-10,452)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
-29,275 (+3,669)
-30,618 (+862)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
-17,013 (+1,624)
-50,369 (+8,527)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
-19,099 (+522)
-2,445 (-14)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1.31504 +0.25%
on 06/20/19
1.35646 -2.82%
on 05/31/19
-0.02562 (-1.91%)
since 05/24/19
1.31504 +0.25%
on 06/20/19
1.35646 -2.82%
on 05/31/19
-0.02193 (-1.64%)
since 03/25/19
1.27820 +3.13%
on 10/01/18
1.36633 -3.52%
on 12/31/18
-0.01116 (-0.84%)
since 06/25/18

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C : 67.41 (-0.82%)
DE : 166.88 (+1.58%)
TSN : 80.82 (+1.93%)
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Price uptrend in place. Bull have solid technical power to suggest still more upside.

Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPUSD Turning Bullish

GBPUSD is also rising, now trading above the upper Elliott wave channel line, which is connected from 1.3177 high.

Gold Higher But With Limited Inflation

Gold futures continue to advance and are near the highest levels in over five years.

Trading Coach - Actionable Market Levels - June 23

Actionable Levels and Brief Fundamental Analysis

EURUSD Eyes Further Upside Pressure On Bull Pressure

EURUSD eyes further upside pressure on bull pressure as we enter a new week. Support comes in at the 1.1300

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.32349
1st Resistance Point 1.32068
Last Price 1.31854
1st Support Level 1.31637
2nd Support Level 1.31487

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52-Week High 1.36633
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.33266
Fibonacci 50% 1.32226
Last Price 1.31854
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.31187
52-Week Low 1.27820

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