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DiaMedica Therapeutics (NASDAQ: DMAC) is trading higher today following a bullish initiation report from TD Cowen, joining a growing chorus of Wall Street analysts betting big on the biotech's breakthrough preeclampsia treatment.
Shares of DiaMedica (DMAC) rose to $6.93 in Wednesday trading, up 3% from Tuesday's close of $6.69, after TD Cowen Securities initiated coverage with a Buy rating. The move marks the third major Wall Street firm to recommend the stock, with all three analysts projecting substantial upside for the small-cap biotechnology company.
The TD Cowen Thesis: A Potential Game-Changer in Maternal Health
In their initiation report published today, TD Cowen analysts led by Dr. Stacy Ku made a compelling case for DiaMedica's lead asset, DM199 (rinvecalinase alfa), calling it a treatment with "significant promise in preeclampsia."
The core of their bullish thesis centers on interim Phase II results that exceeded expectations. According to the report, DM199 demonstrated two critical proof-of-concept achievements in late-stage preeclampsia patients:
Impressive Blood Pressure Control: The drug showed rapid and sustained vasodilation, bringing severe hypertension down from dangerous levels (160-170 mmHg) to near-normal ranges (140s mmHg) within just five minutes, with effects lasting through 24 hours. This rapid response is crucial in a condition where every minute counts.
Placental Safety Profile: Perhaps most importantly for a pregnancy-related condition, DM199 does not cross the placenta, eliminating a major safety concern that has plagued other potential treatments.
"Our consultants are enthusiastic for DM199," the TD Cowen report states, highlighting that key opinion leader physicians are excited about the potential to treat both hypertension and the underlying endothelial dysfunction that drives preeclampsia's devastating effects.
A Billion-Dollar Opportunity in an Underserved Market
The market opportunity is substantial. TD Cowen estimates that DM199 could achieve over $1 billion in peak annual sales in early onset preeclampsia alone, assuming just 25-30% market penetration of the 30,000-35,000 preterm preeclampsia cases that occur annually in the United States.
Currently, the standard of care for early onset preeclampsia is early delivery, which often results in extended neonatal ICU stays, developmental deficits, and poor outcomes for both mother and baby. TD Cowen's physician consultants believe DM199 could fundamentally change this paradigm by allowing pregnancies to be safely extended, dramatically improving outcomes.
The analysts note that DiaMedica is trading at an enterprise value of approximately $258 million, suggesting significant upside if the drug succeeds in capturing even a modest share of this market. With additional potential in fetal growth restriction and acute ischemic stroke (where DM199 is also in development), the upside could be considerably higher.
Wall Street Consensus: Three Buy Ratings Tell a Story
TD Cowen's initiation doesn't exist in a vacuum. DiaMedica now has three separate Buy ratings from respected healthcare-focused analysts:
H.C. Wainwright analyst Matthew Caufield reiterated his Buy rating on September 17, 2025, with a $12 price target—representing 73% upside from current levels.
Lake Street Capital's Thomas Flaten has been even more bullish, maintaining a Buy rating earlier this year with a $14 price target, implying nearly 102% upside potential.
This unanimity among analysts is noteworthy in the biotech space, where coverage is often split between bulls and bears. The fact that three separate firms see substantial upside suggests a high degree of conviction in DiaMedica's clinical and commercial prospects.
Near-Term Catalysts Could Drive Further Upside
For investors, the investment case is bolstered by a steady stream of upcoming catalysts that could drive the stock higher:
- Year-End 2025: Expected U.S. IND submission for DM199 in preeclampsia
- 2026: Multiple interim data readouts from the Phase II investigator-sponsored trial, including results in early onset preeclampsia patients
- 2026: Futility analysis from the pivotal Phase II/III ReMEDy2 study in acute ischemic stroke
- 2026: Potential initiation of a Phase IIb U.S. study for expectant management of preeclampsia
Each of these milestones represents a potential catalyst that could validate the scientific hypothesis and drive institutional interest in the stock.
Understanding the Science: Why DM199 Could Work
DM199 is a recombinant form of tissue kallikrein-1, a protein that plays a crucial role in regulating blood flow and vascular function. In preeclampsia, endothelial dysfunction (damage to blood vessel linings) leads to dangerously high blood pressure and reduced blood flow to the placenta.
What makes DM199 unique is its dual mechanism: it not only addresses the hypertension symptom but may also treat the underlying endothelial dysfunction. Early signals suggest the drug increases placental perfusion (blood flow), with a 13% reduction in blood flow resistance observed at just two hours post-dose.
TD Cowen's physician consultants indicated that if DM199 proves it can treat the root cause of preeclampsia, "it will be a game-changer." This disease-modifying potential sets it apart from current antihypertensives, which merely manage symptoms without addressing the underlying pathology.
What Investors Should Know
Like any clinical-stage biotech, DiaMedica is pre-revenue and currently focused on advancing its clinical programs. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with $29.7 million in net cash, which positions it well to fund operations through key upcoming milestones.
The promising interim data sets a strong foundation, with larger randomized controlled trials underway to confirm and expand upon these initial results. The enthusiasm from key opinion leader physicians and high interest in participating in upcoming trials provides additional confidence in the program's trajectory.
The Bottom Line
The convergence of three Buy ratings from respected analysts, promising clinical data, and a massive underserved market creates a compelling opportunity for DiaMedica Therapeutics. TD Cowen's initiation today, with its detailed analysis of the clinical data and market opportunity, provides the most comprehensive bull case yet for why DM199 could transform treatment in maternal-fetal medicine.
With a market cap under $350 million and billion-dollar peak sales potential, the risk-reward profile is particularly attractive at current levels. The company's strong clinical momentum, positive KOL feedback, and clear pathway to commercialization distinguish it from many early-stage biotech investments.
Today's positive price action following the TD Cowen initiation demonstrates the market is recognizing this opportunity. With three analysts firmly in the bull camp, a steady cadence of value-creating catalysts on the horizon, and significant upside to analyst price targets, DiaMedica represents one of the more compelling stories in the biotech space today.
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