Kalshi has reported 10,419 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the S&P 500 be above 6724.9999 on Oct 10, 2025 at 4pm EDT?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "6,725 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 10, 2025 is above 6724.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 10,419 transactions since it was first opened on October 09, 2025. There are 10,059 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 0 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 293565)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 190331)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 160344)
- Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 103227)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 47250)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 45729)
- Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027? (24h volume: 43178)
- Will Trump visit Israel in the first year? (24h volume: 29513)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in September 2025? (24h volume: 28923)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 27180)
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