Pure Hedge - Livestock and Grain

9/25/25

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     The Livestock Markets were mixed again today, with the Fats and Feeders heading lower. The Fats were down more than 2.50 today. December'25 Live Cattle were 2.52 ½ lower today and settled at 234.30. Today's high was 236.50 and the 1-month and contract high are 243.57 ½. Today's low was 232.92 ½ and the 1-month low is 230.07 ½. Since 8/25 December'25 Live Cattle are 3.75 lower or more than 1 ½%. The Feeders traded below 350 at one point today. The November'25 Feeder Cattle were 5.57 ½ lower today and settled at 352.22 ½. Today's high was 357.22 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 367.65. Today's low was 349.90 and the 1-month low is 342.12 ½. Since 8/25 November'25 Feeder Cattle are 6.70 lower or almost 2%. The Hogs gained half a buck today. December'25 Hogs were 50 cents higher today and settled at 88.62 ½. Today's high was 90.20 and the 1-month and contract high are 90.85. Today's low was 87.87 ½ and the 1-month low is 84.65. Since 8/25 December'25 Lean Hogs are 3.87 ½ higher or more than 4 ½%. The Cattle Markets opened on the highs today and sank from there. The December'25 Live Cattle traded down to 232.92 ½ today but were able to get a little back late in the day and settled near the middle of today's trading range. Yesterday, the open interest in Live Cattle dropped another 1,866 contracts. The November'25 Feeder Cattle traded down to 349.90 today, after opening this morning at 357.22 ½. It will be interesting to see the change in the open interest in both the Fats and Feeders today. The USDA still has not released exactly how they plan to increase the Cattle Herd, and make Beef cheaper, but rumors are abundant. Anticipation of government intervention could make the Cattle Markets continue to break. Whenever and whatever the Government decides to do, it will probably be detrimental to the Cattle Industry. Government intervention, even with good intentions, usually does not go well. I still like a 10% break off the Contract highs in both the Fats and the Feeders. The Hogs stayed positive today, but well off the highs of the day. The Hogs and Pigs Report was released this afternoon, and it looks to be Bullish, as the numbers were all below the lowest estimates. The Funds are still near record long the Hogs, and if it opens much higher tomorrow, it could be an opportunity to short the market in the deferred months. Give me a call if you have any questions or would like to see my latest trade recommendations. Yesterday's November'25 Feeder Cattle Trades are shown below. If you buy them - Hedge them.

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. ***WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS***

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     The Grain Markets were all higher again today, with the Wheat Market still looking strong. The Soybeans continued higher today. November'25 Soybeans were 3 ¼ cents higher today and settled at 1012 ¼. Today's high was 1017 and the 1-month high is 1055 ¾. Today's low was 1006 ½ and the 1-month low is 1005. Since 8/25 November'25 Soybeans are 35 ½ cents lower or more than 3%. The Corn Market traded up to a new high for the week. December'25 Corn was 1 ½ cents higher today and settled at 425 ¾. Today's high was 428 ¼ and the 1-month high is 431 ¼. Today's low was 423 ½ and the 1-month low is 403 ½. Since 8/25 December'25 Corn is 13 ½ cents higher or more than 3%. The Wheat Market advanced again today. December'25 Wheat was 7 ½ cents higher today and settled at 527. Today's high was 527 ½ and the 1-month high is 535 ¾. Today's low was 518 ¼ and the 1-month and contract are 507 ¼. Since 8/25 December'25 Wheat is 2 ¾ cents lower or more than ½%. The Grains continued higher again today, after the strong export number were released. Exports for Corn and Soybean Oil were higher than the highest estimates. Soybean exports were good, and in line with expectations, while the Wheat export numbers were near the highest estimates. I still think we can see higher prices in the Grain Markets, with demand strong, yield estimates dropping, and the ever-present Trade Deal possibility. The US Secretary of Defense has summoned every General and Admiral, in the US Armed Forces worldwide for a meeting next week. Speculation about the meeting is rising, but zero details have been released. I am guessing it is something important, and if it is, it could be Bullish for the Wheat Market. There are several dates below that are important for the Grain Markets, and I added a new date today. Give me a call if you have any questions. Have a great night. 

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YESTERDAYS NOVEMBER'25 FEEDER CATTLE RECOMMENDATIONS BELOW

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IMPORTANT UPCOMING DATES BELOW

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving from your broker, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM   Sign Up Now

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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.

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December'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.  

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December'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below. 

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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS

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If you would like to open an account, please call or send me an email BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM 

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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list   Sign Up Now 

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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States. 

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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it. 

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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader

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GOD BLESS AMERICA

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Give me a call if you have any questions.

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Bill Allen

Vice President

Pure Hedge Division 

Direct: 312-957-8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

WALSH TRADING INC.

311 South Wacker Drive

Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606

www.walshtrading.com

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