Kalshi has reported 5,403 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the United States sanction Russia, Russian government officials, state-owned enterprises, or financial institutions before Oct 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 35% chance for "Before Oct 2025", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 44% probability.
If the U.S. sanctions Russia, Russian government officials, state-owned enterprises, or financial institutions before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 28,176 transactions since it was first opened on August 15, 2025. There are 17,915 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,638,104 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 148544)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 144960)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 125178)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20? (24h volume: 34877)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in August 2025? (24h volume: 31699)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August? (24h volume: 27920)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 23059)
- JD Vance out as Vice President of the United States before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 18864)
- Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 15666)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 12064)
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