
When Wall Street turns bearish on a stock, it’s worth paying attention. These calls stand out because analysts rarely issue grim ratings on companies for fear their firms will lose out in other business lines such as M&A advisory.
Whatever the consensus opinion may be, our team at StockStory cuts through the noise by conducting independent analysis to determine a company’s long-term prospects. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where the skepticism is well-placed and some better opportunities to consider.
Oxford Industries (OXM)
Consensus Price Target: $37.50 (-16.9% implied return)
The parent company of Tommy Bahama, Oxford Industries (NYSE:OXM) is a lifestyle fashion conglomerate with brands that embody outdoor happiness.
Why Should You Dump OXM?
- 14.6% annual revenue growth over the last five years was slower than its consumer discretionary peers
- Lacking free cash flow generation means it has few chances to reinvest for growth, repurchase shares, or distribute capital
- Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
At $45.11 per share, Oxford Industries trades at 17.5x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why OXM doesn’t pass our bar.
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)
Consensus Price Target: $235.90 (8% implied return)
Founded in 1959, Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) produces containerboard and corrugated packaging products as well as displays and package protection.
Why Do We Think Twice About PKG?
- Disappointing unit sales over the past two years suggest it might have to lower prices to accelerate growth
- Expenses have increased as a percentage of revenue over the last five years as its operating margin fell by 5.2 percentage points
- Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam
Packaging Corporation of America’s stock price of $218.46 implies a valuation ratio of 20.2x forward P/E. If you’re considering PKG for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
First Financial Bankshares (FFIN)
Consensus Price Target: $33.75 (3.4% implied return)
With roots dating back to 1890 and a network spanning over 70 locations across the Lone Star State, First Financial Bankshares (NASDAQ:FFIN) is a Texas-focused regional bank providing commercial banking, trust services, and wealth management across numerous communities throughout the state.
Why Does FFIN Give Us Pause?
- Sales trends were unexciting over the last five years as its 5.3% annual growth was below the typical banking company
- Annual net interest income growth of 7.4% over the last five years was below our standards for the banking sector
- Earnings growth underperformed the sector average over the last five years as its EPS grew by just 4.7% annually
First Financial Bankshares is trading at $32.64 per share, or 2.2x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including FFIN in your portfolio.
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