
Each stock in this article is trading near its 52-week high. These elevated prices usually indicate some degree of investor confidence, business improvements, or favorable market conditions.
While momentum can be a leading indicator, it has burned many investors as it doesn’t always correlate with long-term success. All that said, here is one stock with the fundamentals to back up its performance and two not so much.
Two Stocks to Sell:
Viking (VIK)
One-Month Return: +12.9%
From a single river cruise offering to a fleet of 96 vessels across multiple continents, Viking (NYSE:VIK) operates a fleet of small luxury cruise ships offering river, ocean, and expedition voyages focused on cultural enrichment and destination immersion.
Why Do We Think VIK Will Underperform?
- Muted 17.5% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its consumer discretionary peers
- Poor expense management has led to an operating margin of 21.8% that is below the industry average
- Poor free cash flow margin of 22.8% for the last two years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
Viking’s stock price of $77.14 implies a valuation ratio of 23.5x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including VIK in your portfolio.
United Natural Foods (UNFI)
One-Month Return: +11.1%
With a vast network of 55 distribution centers spanning approximately 30 million square feet of warehouse space, United Natural Foods (NYSE:UNFI) is North America's premier grocery wholesaler distributing natural, organic, and conventional products to over 30,000 retail locations across the US and Canada.
Why Do We Avoid UNFI?
- Annual sales growth of 1.8% over the last three years lagged behind its consumer staples peers as its large revenue base made it difficult to generate incremental demand
- Earnings per share fell by 29.3% annually over the last three years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
- High net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5× could force the company to raise capital at unfavorable terms if market conditions deteriorate
United Natural Foods is trading at $46.27 per share, or 16.4x forward P/E. If you’re considering UNFI for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
One Stock to Watch:
BWX (BWXT)
One-Month Return: +18.7%
Contributing components and materials to the famous Manhattan Project in the 1940s, BWX (NYSE:BWXT) is a manufacturer and service provider of nuclear components and fuel for government and commercial industries.
Why Should BWXT Be on Your Watchlist?
- Annual revenue growth of 13.2% over the last two years was superb and indicates its market share increased during this cycle
- Exciting sales outlook for the upcoming 12 months calls for 17.6% growth, an acceleration from its two-year trend
- Free cash flow margin jumped by 5.7 percentage points over the last five years, giving the company more resources to pursue growth initiatives, repurchase shares, or pay dividends
At $230.50 per share, BWX trades at 50x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.
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