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White Sugar #5 Mar '19 (SWH19)

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White Sugar #5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Prices Close Higher on Estimates for Lower Brazil Sugar Production

Oct NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) on Thursday closed up by +0.19 (+1.67%), and Oct ICE London white sugar #5 (SWV19) closed up by +4.20 (+1.36%). Sugar prices pushed higher Thursday on short-covering after Conab cut its Brazil 2019/20 sugar production estimate by -6.7% to 31.8 MMT from a May estimate of 34.1 MMT. Sugar prices on Tuesday posted 2-week lows on the outlook for robust sugar production in India, the world's second-largest sugar producer. Researcher Marex Spectron said Monday that beneficial weather could boost India 2019/20 sugar production to 30 MMT, which would be 6% higher than the 28.2 MMT estimate from the Indian Sugar Mills Association. Ample monsoon rains in India should benefit India's sugar crop after India's Meteorological Department on Aug 8 said India's July monsoon rains were 298.4 mm, 4.6% more than the long-term average. Sugar has support from Unica data on Aug 5 that showed sugar production in Brazil's Center-South region in the second half of July fell by -5.5% y/y to 2.478 MMT, with cumulative production in the 2019-20 marketing year through July falling -9.9% y/y to 13.334 MMT. Another positive for sugar was the action by India's cabinet on July 24 to create a buffer stock of 4 million MT of sugar for 1-year starting Aug 1 in an attempt to lock up supply and support domestic sugar prices.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
White Sugar #5
Contract Size
50 metric tonnes
Tick Size
10 cents per metric tonne ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:45a.m. - 6:30p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE
Point Value
$50
Expiration Date
02/13/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

White Sugar #5 Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
323.40 +2.66%
on 02/12/19
355.80 -6.69%
on 01/15/19
-12.90 (-3.74%)
since 01/11/19
3-Month
323.40 +2.66%
on 02/12/19
355.80 -6.69%
on 01/15/19
-11.30 (-3.29%)
since 11/13/18
52-Week
307.40 +8.00%
on 08/21/18
386.80 -14.17%
on 10/24/18
-45.30 (-12.01%)
since 02/13/18

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Oct NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) this morning is up by +0.22 (+1.93%), and Oct ICE London white sugar #5 (SWV19) is up by +3.50 (+1.14%). Sugar prices moved higher today on short-covering after Conab cut...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 339.73
1st Resistance Point 335.87
Last Price 332.00s
1st Support Level 327.57
2nd Support Level 323.13

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52-Week High 386.80
Fibonacci 61.8% 356.47
Fibonacci 50% 347.10
Fibonacci 38.2% 337.73
Last Price 332.00s
52-Week Low 307.40

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