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White Sugar #5 Mar '19 (SWH19)

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White Sugar #5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Prices Remain Under Pressure on Ample Global Supply

May NY world sugar #11 (SBK19) on Wednesday closed down -0.04 (-0.31%) and May ICE London white sugar (SWK19) closed down -3.80 (-1.11%). Sugar prices remained on the defensive Wednesday on negative carry-over from Tuesday's news that the All India Sugar Trade Association raised its 2018/19 sugar production estimate for India, now the world's largest sugar producer, to 32.6 MMT from a Jan estimate of 31.5 MMT and above the Indian Sugar Mills Association's estimate of 30.7 MMT. Also, India's Sugar Mills Association on Monday reported that India sugar production during Oct 1-Mar 15 rose +5.9% y/y to 27.35 MMT. Losses in sugar prices were contained Wednesday after crude oil climbed to a 4-1/4 month high. Higher crude is positive for ethanol prices and may prompt Brazil’s sugar mills to divert more cane crushing to ethanol production than sugar production, thus reducing sugar supplies.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
White Sugar #5
Contract Size
50 metric tonnes
Tick Size
10 cents per metric tonne ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:45a.m. - 6:30p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE
Point Value
$50
Expiration Date
02/13/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

White Sugar #5 Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
323.40 +2.66%
on 02/12/19
355.80 -6.69%
on 01/15/19
-12.90 (-3.74%)
since 01/11/19
3-Month
323.40 +2.66%
on 02/12/19
355.80 -6.69%
on 01/15/19
-11.30 (-3.29%)
since 11/13/18
52-Week
307.40 +8.00%
on 08/21/18
386.80 -14.17%
on 10/24/18
-45.30 (-12.01%)
since 02/13/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 339.73
1st Resistance Point 335.87
Last Price 332.00s
1st Support Level 327.57
2nd Support Level 323.13

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52-Week High 386.80
Fibonacci 61.8% 356.47
Fibonacci 50% 347.10
Fibonacci 38.2% 337.73
Last Price 332.00s
52-Week Low 307.40

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