Kalshi has reported 13,444 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 81% chance for "Yes", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 80% probability.
If Democrats win the Virginia Governor, Virginia House of Delegates, and New Jersey Governor elections, and Mamdani wins the New York City Mayor election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 14,992 transactions since it was first opened on September 17, 2025. There are 13,600 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,644,099 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 169748)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 163538)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 60580)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 59536)
- Will the S&P 500 be between 6800 and 6999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 56234)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 56063)
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 32750)
- Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 23951)
- Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2025? (24h volume: 23889)
- Will above 0 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 23394)
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